The Minnesota Twins host the Tampa Bay Rays on July 6, 2025. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSSUN.
Find my MLB betting preview and Rays vs Twins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports, and more.
My Rays vs Twins Prediction
- Rays vs Twins pick: Under 8
My Rays vs Twins best bet is Under 8. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs Twins Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 8 -115o / -105u | -105 |
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 8 -115o / -105u | -115 |
Rays vs Twins Projected Starting Pitchers
| Drew Rasmussen (TBR) | Stat | Joe Ryan (MIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-5 | W-L | 8-4 |
| 1.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.2 |
| 2.78/3.63 | ERA /xERA | 2.75/3.31 |
| 3.59/3.56 | FIP / xFIP | 3.26/3.57 |
| 1.00 | WHIP | 0.87 |
| 15.7 | K-BB% | 23 |
| 50.4 | GB% | 39.6 |
| 112 | Stuff+ | 105 |
| 101 | Location+ | 103 |
Rays vs Twins Prediction, Betting Analysis
The "Steam Unders with Low OU Support" MLB betting system identifies value in regular-season games where sharp money drives the total down, but public bettors continue to favor the over. This strategy focuses on matchups from 2019 to 2025 with closing totals between 8 and 10 runs, key ranges for scoring volatility.
It highlights games where the over/under line drops notably from open to close, signaling sharp action on the under, yet a small percentage of bets (often under 30%) follow that direction. This discrepancy between betting handle and ticket count reveals mispriced totals fueled by public bias.
To enhance reliability, the system filters out games played in extreme weather, only including contests in mild to warm temperatures. It also requires both teams to have recent results hovering near the posted total, eliminating outliers driven by hot or cold streaks.
The result is a consistent betting edge in realistic scoring environments where the market quietly leans under, but the public remains focused on overs. Backed by a large sample size and historically strong ROI, this system targets low-confidence unders that carry high-value potential.
This system has hit 62% of the time this season and has a 15 % ROI since 2019.
Pick: Under 8
Moneyline
There is no play on the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
There is no play on the run line.
Over/Under
Take the under in today's Rays vs. Twins matchup.
