Rockies vs Giants Prediction Today | MLB Odds, Picks for Sunday, September 10
Via Norm Hall/Getty Images. Pictured: Peter Lambert #20 of the Colorado Rockies delivers a pitch against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on September 04, 2023 in Phoenix, Arizona.
Rockies vs. Giants Odds
The third and final game of this NL West series gets underway Sunday evening with the third-place San Francisco Giants hosting the fifth-place Colorado Rockies.
San Francisco has controlled this series thus far after winning both of the first two matchups by a combined score of 18-9.
Will the Giants take care of business once again, or can the Rockies end the series on a high note?
Here's a look at the odds and my Giants vs. Rockies betting pick and prediction.
While the Giants are still in the playoff race and just 2.5 games out of the final wild-card spot, they have not made things particularly easy for themselves this season.
Their hitting has been poor, and they rank in the bottom third of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, SLG, OPS and home runs.
Particularly, San Francisco also struggles to avoid strikeouts, as it ranks 25th in K% when facing right-handed pitching. Five of the nine hitters in Sunday's projected starting lineup possess a K% north of 24% this year.
Opposing starting pitchers have recorded four or more strikeouts in nine of the past 12 games against the Giants. These strikeout woes are likely to continue in this matchup against right-handed Rockies starter Peter Lambert.
It has not been the smoothest campaign for Lambert, who is 3-6 with a 5.03 ERA and 1.35 WHIP through 24 appearances on the mound. Nonetheless, he has found some success in generating swings and misses as he has recorded four or more strikeouts in five of his past six starts.
Lambert is a fastball-heavy pitcher who utilizes that pitch to set up a very solid changeup, which carries a 33.8% Whiff Rate and 29% Put Away Rate this season. While he may not be the best pitcher to back in general, it would not be shocking if this changeup presents problems against a swing-happy Giants lineup.
Rockies vs. Giants
Betting Pick & Prediction
Because of their high Strikeout Rate throughout the lineup, the Giants should be a fade candidate for strikeout props through the rest of the season. Hitters like Blake Sabol, Mike Yastrzemski, Brandon Crawford and J.D. Davis all carry K% north of 25%, which should benefit Lambert and his changeup.
I certainly wouldn't back the Rockies as big underdogs in this matchup – their lineup is even worse, and I wouldn't be shocked at all if Lambert gets shelled. However, with a strikeout prop as low as 3.5 against this lineup available on FanDuel, Lambert should rack up at least four punch-outs even if that is the case.
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