The San Diego Padres host the Colorado Rockies on April 11, 2026. First pitch from Petco Park is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SDPA.
The Padres are favored by -166 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rockies are +140 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Rockies vs Padres prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rockies vs Padres Prediction
- Rockies vs Padres Pick: German Marquez Under 4.5 Strikeouts
My Rockies vs Padres best bet is a Marquez strikeouts prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rockies vs Padres Odds
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +125 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | +140 |
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -152 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | -166 |
- Rockies vs Padres spread: Padres -1.5 (+125 ), Rockies +1.5 (-152)
- Rockies vs Padres over/under: 8.5 (-105o / -115u)
- Rockies vs Padres moneyline: Rockies +140, Padres -166
Rockies vs Padres Projected Starting Pitchers
| Ryan Feltner | Stat | German Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| 6-8 | W-L | 8-6 |
| 0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0 |
| 4.32 / 8.25 | ERA /xERA | 4.50 / 4.22 |
| 4.59 / 4.56 | FIP / xFIP | 5.90 / 5.04 |
| 1.32 | WHIP | 2 |
| 5.7 | K-BB% | 7.7 |
| 44.4 | GB% | 31.3 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 89 |
| 100 | Location+ | 96 |
Rockies vs Padres Preview
Action PRO projects Rockies starter German Marquez for 3.56 strikeouts in his matchup against the Padres tonight, giving us a solid 10.3% edge against the market compared to his current prop line of 4.5, which is good enough to tag the Under with a B grade in our system.
Rockies vs Padres Picks
Marquez has averaged around five strikeouts so far this season, although his results have been inconsistent through two starts. He stayed well under this number in one outing with just one strikeout, while going over in the other.
While he has shown the ability to generate swings and misses at times, he hasn't consistently worked deep enough into games to pile up strikeouts, which is key when targeting an under at this number.
Against a Padres lineup that tends to make contact and limit strikeouts, the path to five punchouts becomes less likely unless he logs significant innings.
You can fade him here on his strikeouts prop, with value on under 4.5 Ks.
Rockies vs Padres Best Bet
- German Marquez Under 4.5 Strikeouts
