The Colorado Rockies host the San Diego Padres on September 16, 2026. First pitch from Coors Field is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on COLR.
The Padres are favored by -165 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rockies are +140 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 11 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Padres vs Rockies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Padres vs Rockies Prediction
- Padres vs Rockies Pick: Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 HRR (-140) | Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs (+320) | Padres -1.5 (-115)
My Padres vs Rockies best bet is on Tatis Jr. to contribute with his bat, including a home run, while backing San Diego to win by multiple runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page and be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Padres vs Rockies Odds
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -115 | 11 -125o / 105u | -165 |
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -105 | 11 -125o / 105u | +140 |
- Padres vs Rockies moneyline: Padres -165, Rockies +140
- Padres vs Rockies over/under: 11 (-125o / 105u)
- Padres vs Rockies spread: Padres -1.5 (-115), Rockies +1.5 (-105)
Padres vs Rockies Probable Pitchers
| Robbie Ray | Stat | Mason Adams |
|---|---|---|
| 12-8 | W-L | 0-0 |
| 0.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0 |
| 3.57 / 4.85 | ERA / xERA | 3.38 / 4.98 |
| 4.73 / 4.92 | FIP / xFIP | 5.68 / 3.65 |
| 7.7 | K-BB% | 16.9 |
| 34.5 | GB% | 41.3 |
| .256 | BABIP | .317 |
| 94 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 90 | Location+ | 100 |
Padres vs Rockies MLB Betting Preview
Padres vs Rockies Pick, Betting Analysis
The Padres and Rockies will duke it out on Wednesday evening at the most hitter-friendly ballpark in baseball at Coors Field in Colorado.
26-year-old righty Mason Adams will take the mound for the Rockies, while the visiting Friars will send out former Cy Young Award winner Robbie Ray.
Given how favorable the hitting conditions are at Coors, this is another perfect spot to target some player-prop markets.
I fully expect San Diego superstar Fernando Tatis Jr. to thrive on Wednesday night, building upon what has been an insane heater at the plate for the 27-year-old since the All-Star break.
In 52 games post-break, Tatis Jr. is batting .312 with 64 hits, 16 homers and 40 RBIs following the Dominican having recorded career-low metrics across the board over the first half of the 2026 season.
According to BARTOLO — a new statistical baseball model generated by the Action Network’s Sean Zerillo — Adams has allowed a whopping 2.47 home run rate (HR/9) in 2026 thus far.
In addition to his sizable susceptibility to heavy damage from opposing hitters this season, the Rockies’ 26-year-old boasts a .601 xERA (Expected ERA), which is quite concerning as well heading into a matchup with a scorching Padres’ lineup.
For two player prop betting angles ahead of Wednesday evening’s National League clash, I favor backing Tatis Jr. to both exceed his 2.5 HRR mark and smash a homer.
For a third wager, I'm willing to take a shot on the Padres runline as well, given their sizable starting-pitching edge on Wednesday to go along with a far superior lineup.
Picks: Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 HRR (-140) | Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs (+320) | Padres -1.5 (-115)
