The Colorado Rockies host the San Diego Padres on May 9, 2025. First pitch from Coors Field is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on SDPA and MLB.TV.
The Padres enter as -170 favorites on the moneyline with the over/under sitting at a high 11.5.
Find my Padres vs Rockies prediction and MLB betting preview below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Padres vs Rockies Prediction
- Padres vs Rockies Pick: Randy Vasquez Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-125)
My Rockies vs. Padres best bet is San Diego starter Randy Vasquez to stay under his strikeout total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Padres vs Rockies Odds
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -115 | 11.5 -110o / -110u | -170 |
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -105 | 11.5 -110o / -110u | +142 |
Padres vs Rockies Projected Starting Pitchers
Padres vs Rockies MLB Betting Preview
Padres, Rockies Pick & Betting Analysis
We're 3-for-3 on this prop. This is the best price we've gotten so far.
I know it's the Rockies, but this is still the lowest-strikeout pitcher in the league facing a lineup that can exploit his main weakness of lefties.
Vasquez boasts an 8.8% strikeout rate and a 16.2% walk rate. I'm not sure if I've ever seen a walk rate twice as high as a strikeout rate, but Vasquez is on his way there.
Among 124 pitchers with at least 30 innings pitched this season, Vasquez ranks dead last in K%, 121st in swinging-strike rate and 119th in CSW%. He also has the highest BB% in the group.
Lefties are slashing .284/.392/.388 against Vasquez. He has a grand total of two Ks in 79 plate appearances against them.
Colorado's projected lineup includes five left-handed hitters. The Rockies have the second-highest K% against righties this season. However, that number has fallen a bit over the past 30 days, and it's ticked down by about 1% at home.
They also have a strong 9.3% BB% vs. RHP at home this season.
San Diego had an off day on Thursday and got 6 2/3 innings out of Dylan Cease on Wednesday. The bullpen should be in a decent spot, so Vasquez will have a short leash here. Plus, he hasn't gone more than five innings since March.
Pick: Randy Vasquez Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-125)
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Moneyline
I don't have a bet on either side in this game.
Run Line (Spread)
Like the moneyline, I'm staying away from both teams on the run line.
Over/Under
While I don't have a bet on the game over/under, I am taking the under on a player prop. I think Padres starter Randy Vasquez will struggle mightily to rack up strikeouts, so I'll bet him to stay under 3.5 Ks.
