The New York Mets host the San Diego Padres on August 17, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SDPA.
The Mets are favored by -120 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Padres are +105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Padres vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Padres vs Mets Prediction
- Padres vs Mets Pick: Mets Over 3.5 Runs
My Padres vs Mets best bet is on the over for the Mets' team total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Padres vs Mets Odds
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -210 | 8 -115o / -105u | +100 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +170 | 8 -115o / -105u | -120 |
- Padres vs Mets moneyline: Padres +100, Mets -120
- Padres vs Mets over/under: 8 (-115o / -105u)
- Padres vs Mets spread: Mets -1.5 (+170 ), Padres +1.5 (-210)
Padres vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| Walker Buehler (RHP, SD) | Stat | Nolan McLean (RHP, NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-5 | W-L | 8-8 |
| 1.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.6 |
| 4.88 / 4.35 | ERA / xERA | 3.42 / 3.61 |
| 4.29 / 4.24 | FIP / xFIP | 3.56 / 3.40 |
| 10.7% | K-BB% | 21.8% |
| 48.0% | GB% | 45.6% |
| .308 | BABIP | .272 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 106 |
| 99 | Location+ | 97 |
Padres vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
Padres vs Mets Pick, Betting Analysis
The Mets are playing some good baseball of late. It's too little, too late, but they're seeing what this talented young core is capable of. Some OPS marks from their lineup since the All Star break:
- Lindor .921
- Benge .831
- Young .886
- Alvarez .847
- Bichette .777
They have been a pretty good offense. Tonight, they'll see Padres' right-hander Walker Buehler, who has has a 5.47 ERA on the road with 1.24 HR/9 surrendered. His 10.7% K-BB% for the year shows that he's not a good Major League pitcher anymore. So I think the Mets are in for some scoring.
I have given up even trying to predict what Nolan McLean will do, so I'm just going to go to the Mets offensive side of this one and stay there.
Pick: Mets Over 3.5 Runs (-145, BetMGM)
