| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -145 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | +140 |
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +120 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -165 |
The Los Angeles Angels wrap up a three-game series with the Cincinnati Reds with a doubleheader on Wednesday.
The first leg of the doubleheader has Shohei Ohtani slated to be back on the bump for the Angels after a 14-day layoff.
Batters are hitting .185 off of Ohtani this season.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on an Ohtani player prop at BetMGM for Wednesday, expecting Ohtani to have his way with the Reds' lineup. It's a bet on the over.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair-value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
Shohei Ohtani Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Ohtani has had a lot of success striking batters out this season and is fourth in MLB in strikeouts per nine innings.
Combine that with the fact that he's one of the most popular names in baseball, and it's easy to see why sportsbooks expect significant action on his overs.
However, the model indicates Ohtani's strikeout total is still too low. BetMGM has set his strikeout total Tuesday at 7.5, with +105 to the over and -135 to the under. That's the best price on the over in the market.
The model predicts Ohtani's strikeouts at 8.9, good enough for above a 16% betting edge on the under.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same unit size for each individual bet.
Pick: Shohei Ohtani Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+105)
