The Boston Red Sox host the Tampa Bay Rays on on June 9, 2025. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FDSSUN.
Find my MLB betting preview and Rays vs Red Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Rays vs Red Sox Prediction
- Rays vs Red Sox picks: Brayan Bello Under 17.5 Outs (-125)
My Rays vs Red Sox best bet is on Brayan Bello under 17.5 outs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs Red Sox Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -105 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -115 |
Rays vs Red Sox Projected Starting Pitchers
| Shane Baz (TB) | Stat | Brayan Bello (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | W-L | 2-1 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
| 4.96 / 4.32 | ERA /xERA | 3.91 / 5.71 |
| 5.01 / 3.95 | FIP / xFIP | 4.81 / 4.46 |
| 1.36 | WHIP | 1.59 |
| 13.3 | K-BB% | 4.3 |
| 49.5 | GB% | 53.1 |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 93 |
| 99 | Location+ | 102 |
Rays vs Red Sox Prediction, Betting Analysis
The outs prop for Red Sox starter Brayan Bello looks like a strong wager based on the current data from RotoGrinders' Prop Model.
The line of 17.5 compares favorably based on our MLB simulations. The prop projects to hit 62.09% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 6.53% edge.
Most importantly, the Prop Model is 65-42 (+21.31u) on MLB picks this season, giving us strong value in this Monday AL East tilt.
Bello is 2-1 on the season with a 3.91 ERA, 5.71 xERA, 4.81 FIP and 4.46 xFIP. Since the start of May, he's worked longer than 4 2/3 innings in just two of seven starts.
You can find all prop bet evaluations in ParlayIQ.
Pick: Brayan Bello Under 17.5 Outs (-125)
Moneyline
There's no play on the moneyline for this AL East matchup.
Run Line (Spread)
There's also no play on the run line for Rays vs. Red Sox.
Over/Under
There's no play on the regular over/under, but the bet should come on Brayan Bello under 17.5 outs at -125.
