The Chicago White Sox host the Tampa Bay Rays on April 16, 2026. First pitch from Rate Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on CHSN.
The Rays are favored by -126 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The White Sox are +104 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Rays vs White Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rays vs White Sox Prediction
- Rays vs White Sox Pick: Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits (+160)
Our Rays vs White Sox best bet is on Yandy Diaz to record two or more hits this afternoon. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs White Sox Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +129 | 8 -118o / -102u | -126 |
| White Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -156 | 8 -118o / -102u | +104 |
- Rays vs White Sox spread: Rays -1.5 (+129), White Sox +1.5 (-156)
- Rays vs White Sox over/under: 8 (-118o / -102u)
- Rays vs White Sox moneyline: Rays -126, White Sox +104
Rays vs White Sox Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Steven Matz (TB) | Stat | RHP Jordan Leasure (CHW) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | W-L | 1-0 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.1 |
| 3.94 / 3.35 | ERA / xERA | 4.00 / 4.98 |
| 2.97 / 3.81 | FIP / xFIP | 5.05 / 4.47 |
| 0.94 | WHIP | 1.00 |
| 19.0 | K-BB% | 17.1 |
| 27.5 | GB% | 21.7 |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 109 |
| 107 | Location+ | 97 |
Rays vs White Sox Preview
Action PRO projects Rays designated hitter Yandy Diaz for 1.66 hits in today's matchup against the White Sox, giving us a nice 11% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 1.5, which is good enough to mark the Over with a B grade in our system.
In the past seven days, Diaz has seven hits in his 18 at-bats for a .389 average.
Today, he will face White Sox starter Jordan Leasure, who has worse split numbers at home and against right-handed batters when it comes to average and OBP.
In his career, Leisure has allowed .228 and .319 in those categories at home, as opposed to .218 and .309 on the road. Right-handed batters have .238 and .333 against him compared to the lefties' .216 and .302.
This season, those numbers have increased, and the margin has widened. In 2026, Leasure is allowing .250 and .308 at home and .286 and .375 versus right-handers.
Rays vs White Sox Picks
Yandy Diaz has surpassed this line (1.5) in two of his past five games and is currently on a five-game hitting streak.
In April, he has hit safely in 10 out of 12 games played, going empty-handed in just two contests.
Plus, Diaz is doing much better against RHP this season, hitting .383 with a .500 OBP, a .574 SLG and a 1.074 OPS.
At a really good value, let's back him this afternoon against Leasure and the Chicago bullpen.
Pick: Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits (+160, DraftKings)
