The Houston Astros host the Tampa Bay Rays on on May 30, 2025. First pitch from Daikin Park is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FDSSUN.
Find my MLB betting preview and Rays vs Astros prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Rays vs Astros Prediction
- Rays vs Astros picks: Under 8
My Rays vs Astros best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs Astros Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -165 | 8 -110o / -110u | +140 |
| Astros Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +135 | 8 -110o / -110u | -170 |
Rays vs Astros Projected Starting Pitchers
| Ryan Pepiot (TB) | Stat | Framber Valdez (HOU) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | W-L | 4-4 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.4 |
| 3.55 / 4.50 | ERA /xERA | 3.39 / 4.01 |
| 4.43 / 4.09 | FIP / xFIP | 3.29 / 3.36 |
| 1.23 | WHIP | 1.14 |
| 12.7 | K-BB% | 14.7 |
| 39 | GB% | 56.5 |
| 106 | Stuff+ | 106 |
| 104 | Location+ | 103 |
Rays vs Astros Prediction, Betting Analysis
According to Evan Abrams' "Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams, Later in Series" system, this under is a strong play.
Basically this system targets Game 2 or later in a particular series between two winning teams when the bet percentage on the under comes in between 0% and 35%.
This matchup falls into the criteria, as the Rays and Astros play the second game of a four-game set on Friday. Both Tampa and Houston are above .500 on the season, and the bet percentage on the under comes in at 24% at the time of writing.
This system has an ROI of 5.8% and is +$14,427 since its inception.
But that's not the only system that lights up on this under.
Our "PRO: Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams" and "Weather: Wind Blowing In (PRO)" both have a green light for this total play, making this a stronger, more reliable pick.
Pick: Under 8
Moneyline
There's no value on the moneyline in this matchup.
Run Line (Spread)
There's no play for the run line for this game.
Over/Under
Target the under eight runs in this Rays vs. Astros duel.
Rays vs Astros Betting Trends
