The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Tampa Bay Rays on April 19, 2026. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on RAYS.
The Pirates are favored by -120 on the moneyline. The Rays are +102 on the moneyline. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Rays vs Pirates prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rays vs Pirates Prediction
- Rays vs Pirates Pick: Under 7.5
My Rays vs Pirates best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs Pirates Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +176 | 7.5 -122o / -100u | +102 |
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -215 | 7.5 -122o / -100u | -120 |
- Rays vs Pirates moneyline: Rays +102, Pirates -120
- Rays vs Pirates over/under: 7.5 (-122 / -100)
- Rays vs Pirates spread: Rays -1.5 (+176), Pirates +1.5 (-215)
Rays vs Pirates Pitchers
| Shane McClanahan (LHP) | Stat | Mitch Keller (RHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | W-L | 1-1 |
| 0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 3.95 / 4.52 | ERA / xERA | 2.86 / 3.97 |
| 4.62 / 4.98 | FIP / xFIP | 3.84 / 4.69 |
| 1.17 | WHIP | 1.23 |
| 3.4% | K-BB% | 5.6% |
| 42.4% | GB% | 37.9% |
| 103 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 79 | Location+ | 99 |
Rays vs Pirates MLB Betting Preview
This game triggered one of our Action PRO systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
This system targets unders in interleague games where both teams are winning clubs, and the market sets a modest total between 7 and 10 runs.
The setup leverages:
- Solid teams (49–100% win rate) facing unfamiliar lineups and pitchers
- Later-season matchups (game 22+), when teams settle into pitching rhythms
- Home teams favored (moneyline -260 to -110), suggesting stronger bullpens
- Undervalued run suppression due to lack of offensive familiarity
The result: profitable unders in tighter, more disciplined matchups between quality teams with limited recent exposure to each other.
Rays vs Pirates Pick, Betting Analysis
While the wind is projected to be blowing out at 15 MPH at PNC Park on Sunday, it still won't be a great run-scoring environment, with temperatures in the low-50s. BallParkPal projects a -7% run scoring factor behind a -23% home run factor.
There's reason to trust these two starting pitchers. Mitch Keller and Shane McClanahan both project with No. 2 starter upside.
Pick: Under 7.5
