The Chicago White Sox host the Toronto Blue Jays on July 9, 2025. First pitch from Rate Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
The Blue Jays are on a 10-game winning streak and will try to keep it going by completing the sweep in this series.
Find my MLB betting preview and Blue Jays vs White Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Blue Jays vs White Sox Prediction
- Blue Jays vs White Sox picks: Under 8.5 (-118, BetMGM)
My Blue Jays vs White Sox best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Blue Jays vs White Sox Odds, Spread
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +110 | 8.5 -102o / -118u | -155 |
| White Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -135 | 8.5 -102o / -118u | +125 |
Blue Jays vs White Sox Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Eric Lauer (TOR) | Stat | RHP Adrian Houser (CHW) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | W-L | 4-2 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.4 |
| 2.65 / 3.21 | ERA / xERA | 1.60 / 3.50 |
| 3.61 / 4.03 | FIP / xFIP | 3.08 / 3.97 |
| 1.02 | WHIP | 1.11 |
| 17.7 | K-BB% | 10.5 |
| 32.8 | GB% | 47.6 |
| 93 | Stuff+ | 92 |
| 101 | Location+ | 103 |
Blue Jays vs White Sox Preview
Toronto starter Eric Lauer has only allowed three runs in a game twice this season, never giving up more than that in any outing.
The lefty is coming off an excellent start against the Angels, conceding just two runs and three hits in six innings while striking out six batters.
Today, he'll be facing the 28th-ranked offense in baseball, the White Sox, who have a 80 wRC+.
Adrian Houser will oppose him this afternoon and should be the main threat to the Blue Jays' winning streak. He hasn't given up any earned runs in the last two games and has a 1.60 ERA for the season.
The Blue Jays, although boasting a solid offense (ninth in the MLB with 106 wRC+), perform slightly worse against right-handed pitchers, such as Houser, falling to the 11th spot among all teams.
This aligns with our Bet Labs recommendation for the under, which adds a weather angle with the "Public Fades Humidity = Unders" system.
Blue Jays vs White Sox Prediction, Betting Analysis
This system capitalizes on an overlooked weather edge in MLB totals betting. It focuses on regular-season games where elevated humidity — ranging from 45 to 95 — intersects with moderate temperatures and neutral wind patterns.
Despite assumptions that humidity boosts offense, public bettors are fading these conditions, which actually correlate with suppressed scoring in certain environments.
In these spots, the home team has stayed under in recent games, with their five-game over rate sitting below 40, suggesting low offensive rhythm.
The market has also subtly corrected, with the total dropping from open to close, and the overall percentage of bets on the over remains modest, ranging from 6 to 29%.
These indicators combine to identify under-the-radar under spots where public narratives misalign with actual scoring trends.
Pick: Under 8.5 (-118, BetMGM)
