Twins vs. Yankees MLB Prediction, Odds: The 9% ROI, Historically Profitable Pick (Tuesday, Sept. 6)
Ron Jenkins/Getty Images. Pictured: Jose Miranda (twins)
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Odds
|Over/Under||6.5 (o -114 / u -106)|
|Date||Tuesday, September 6|
|Time||7:08 p.m. ET|
*Odds via FanDuel as of Tuesday morning
This contest between two playoff contenders fits a betting algorithm developed by the Action Network that reports a return on investment (ROI) of 9%.
And yes, despite the Yankees' foibles over the last two months, they are still firmly "playoff contenders."
If you had bet $100 on each game that has fit this betting trend since 2005, you'd be up about $14,000. That's roughly $800 per year.
And this is over a massive sample size: 1,400+ games over the last 17 odd seasons. Substantial data sets like this one, of course, ensure statistical significance.
The betting system incorporates public tracking data also proprietary to the Action Network. The philosophy behind the algorithm is simple: fade the retail bettors on unpopular teams.
This system's 9% return on investment is better than the average annual return of the S&P 500, which has hovered at around 8% for over a century. That index is down about 18% year-to-date. Meanwhile, Bitcoin, for instance, is down about 58% during that same timeframe.
Still, don't use this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing. The aforementioned figures are purely for reference.
Twins vs. Yankees Betting System Pick
This historically profitable betting system targets teams that have been thrown into the waste bin.
The team you'd bet on needs to be on at least a two-game losing streak, and its moneyline needs to have fewer than 35% of the public's wagers.
So, the retail bettors are riding with the favorite, and the underdog hasn't done well in recent games.
For tonight's game, the system is targeting the Twins, whose best price on the market is with BetRivers at +175.
As aforementioned, this betting system has returned 9% of your initial stake since 2005.
But while Tuesday may be the day to cash in, keep in mind that the $800 per year profit is accrued over a season-long sample size.
The best way to maximize that 9% ROI is to bet on every game that fits this system for the remainder of the season. There are roughly five more games that will fit this algorithm in 2022.
Additionally, the system only wins 41% of the time — the 9% ROI occurs because you're exclusively betting on underdogs. So you have to be comfortable with losing more individual bets than you win.