The San Diego Padres host the Washington Nationals on September 7, 2026. First pitch from Petco Park is scheduled for 5:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on NATS.
The Padres are favored by -200 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are +165 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Nationals vs Padres prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Nationals vs Padres Prediction
- Nationals vs Padres Pick: Nick Pivetta Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+115)
Our Nationals vs Padres best bet is on Nick Pivetta to record five or more strikeouts today. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Nationals vs Padres Odds
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -125 | 8 -110o / -110u | +165 |
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +105 | 8 -110o / -110u | -200 |
- Nationals vs Padres moneyline: Nationals +165, Padres -200
- Nationals vs Padres over/under: 8 (-110o / -110u)
- Nationals vs Padres spread: Nationals +1.5 (-125), Padres -1.5 (+105)
Nationals vs Padres Probable Pitchers
| Jake Irvin (RHP, WAS) | Stat | Nick Pivetta (RHP, SD) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-8 | W-L | 1-2 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 5.57 / 5.30 | ERA / xERA | 4.50 / 1.87 |
| 5.06 / 4.66 | FIP / xFIP | 1.22 / 3.20 |
| 12.4 | K-BB% | 27.3 |
| 37.6 | GB% | 33.3 |
| .284 | BABIP | .233 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 99 | Location+ | 103 |
Nationals vs Padres MLB Betting Preview
MLB Prop Projections has Nick Pivetta as the largest prop edge for this matchup.
The model projects the Padres starter for 4.99 strikeouts against the Nationals today, giving us a solid 9.3% edge when compared to his current prop line of over/under 4.5, which is good enough to tag the over with a B grade in our system.
Pivetta is being activated from the IL today to start this game, and in his three previous outings, he struck out eight batters in the two contests where he completed five innings, while getting four Ks in just three IP in his last start.
