Yankees vs. Blue Jays MLB Odds, Pick & Preview: Expect Toronto to Snap New York’s Winning Streak (Friday, June 17)
Dustin Satloff/Getty. Pictured: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- The Blue Jays host the Yankees in a pick 'em on Friday night in Toronto.
- Both teams are hot, but one side has a more favorable pitching matchup.
- Tony Sartori breaks down the matchup and shares his best bet below.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds
|Blue Jays Odds||-115|
|Time||7:07 p.m. ET|
|Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.|
The Toronto Blue Jays host the New York Yankees in the first of a three-game series on Friday night. This game is the 10th meeting between these two teams this season as the Yankees have won six of the first nine matchups.
Will the Yankees continue their great play against the Blue Jays and the rest of the league in general, or can the Blue Jays get back on track on their home field?
Will Montgomery and the Yankees Keep Their Win Streak Alive?
The New York Yankees enter this contest in outstanding form as they have won seven straight games. That being said, I believe the win streak comes to an end as left-hander Jordan Montgomery is slated to take the mound.
Montgomery has some great surface-level numbers this season as he is 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.98 WHIP through 12 starts. However, his underlying metrics are not nearly as great.
This season, Montgomery possesses a .322 xwOBA and .278 xBA. His surface-level stats also take a slight dip when pitching on the road this season as he possesses a 2.84 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.
The Yankees have lost in four of Montgomery's five road starts this season (80%), and while that one win was against the Blue Jays, I expect a bounce-back performance from Toronto as they left 15 runners on base in that game.
Montgomery may not get a ton of run support in this contest as the Yankees are slated to go against right-hander Ross Stripling. Over 110 career plate appearances against Stripling, this current Yankees roster possesses a mere .242 BA, .343 SLG, and .290 wOBA.
Can the Blue Jays Capitalize Against a Lefty?
The Toronto Blue Jays also enter this game in good form as they have won 15 of their last 21 games.
Through 15 appearances on the mound this season, the righty Stripling is 3-1 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. His numbers are even better at home as he possesses a 2.70 ERA at the Rogers Centre.
Stripling's metrics suggest that more success is coming as he boasts a .308 xwOBA and .259 xBA. Over his last two starts, Stripling has been dominant as he allowed just one hit and no runs in each of those outings.
Toronto has won in four of Stripling's seven starts this season (57%). Stripling should get a good amount of run support in this game as the Blue Jays are slated to against the left-hander Montgomery.
Over 92 career plate appearances against Montgomery, this current Blue Jays roster boasts a .279 BA, .442 SLG, and .324 wOBA. Since May 1st, the Blue Jays rank second in the league in BA, third in SLG, first in OPS, and first in wOBA when facing left-handers.
Yankees-Blue Jays Pick
The public will be all over New York as a pick 'em while riding a seven-game win streak. That being said, it makes a ton of sense why oddsmakers would give Toronto the rightful respect they deserve in this matchup.
Stripling has been on a tear on the mound recently while Montgomery's metrics suggest regression is looming. Additionally, the Blue Jays have been raking against left-handers. Back Toronto at home at -110 on PointsBet and play them down to -130.
Pick: Toronto Blue Jays ML (-110) | Play down to (-130)