Adam Fugitt vs. Ty Miller Odds
| Fugitt Odds | +370 |
| Miller Odds | -485 |
| Over/Under | 1.5 (-175/+135) |
| Location | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV |
| Bout Time | 5:45 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | Paramount+ |
| UFC 324 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 324 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Check out the Adam Fugitt vs. Ty Miller prediction for UFC 324 on Saturday, January 24, along with my betting preview and breakdown.
Here's my Fugitt vs. Miller pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Fugitt | Miller | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 10-5-0 | 6-0-0 (1 NC) |
| Avg. Fight Time | 8:11 | 15:00 |
| Height | 6'1" | 6'2" |
| Weight (pounds) | 170 lbs. | 170 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 77" | 77" |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 1/12/1989 | 6/4/2000 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 4.59 | 5.60 |
| SS Accuracy | 46% | 34% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 4.54 | 3.80 |
| SS Defense | 51% | 70% |
| Take Down Avg | 1.83 | 0.00 |
| TD Acc | 25% | 0% |
| TD Def | 50% | 50% |
| Submission Avg | 0 | 0 |
Fugitt vs. Miller Pick, Prediction
Unbeaten prospect Ty Miller will make his UFC debut this weekend following a contract-earning performance on Contender Series in August against Jimmy Drago, as a -240 favorite.
Miller, a former two-time Golden Gloves champion, will face a wrestler in Adam Fugitt, who is 11 years his senior and has a 2-2 UFC record (including a Contender Series loss to future title contender Michael Morales).
Still, Fugitt's promotional wins over Josh Quinlan and Kinoshita didn't age well; neither fighter saw success at this level, and while he could test Miller's grappling, I would expect the younger man to gradually increase his pace and aggression after successfully defending takedowns and shaking off some early debutant nerves in an arena.
I view Miller as a solid parlay piece — setting his moneyline closer to -600, compared to odds closer to -450; include him in parlays up to -575.
Moreover, I also show value in the fight to reach a decision (projected +128, listed +180).
You can combine those opinions and consider a Same Game Parlay (SGP) with Miller and the Over 1.5 Rounds at plus money, or bet Miller to win by Decision (projected +170, listed +270).
I prefer the SGP among those angles, while waiting for a potential live angle on Miller, and I would also consider his odds to win in Round 2 (+420) or Round 3 (+700), given the age gap between the athletes and the binary nature of this stylistic matchup.
Projection: Ty Miller (85.7%)
Sean's Picks:
- SGP: Ty Miller & Over 1.5 Rounds (+100, 0.2u) at DraftKings; bet to -120
- Parlay (+108, 0.25u) at FanDuel: Ty Miller (-460), Natalia Silva (-340), Waldo Cortes Acosta (-310); bet to -110
- Ty Miller Live after Round 1
