Alibi Idiris vs. Joseph Morales Prediction, Pick, Odds for UFC 319 (Saturday, August 16)

Alibi Idiris vs. Joseph Morales Prediction, Pick, Odds for UFC 319 (Saturday, August 16) article feature image
Credit:

Photo by Jason Silva-Imagn Images. Pictured: Joseph Morales

Check out the Alibi Idiris vs. Joseph Morales prediction for UFC 319 on Saturday, August 16, with my betting preview and breakdown.

Alibi Idiris vs. Joseph Morales Odds

Idiris Odds+125
Morales Odds-150
Over/Under1.5 (-225/+16o)
LocationUnited Center, Chicago
Bout Time6:15 p.m. ET
TV/StreamingESPN+
UFC 319 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 319 with our DraftKings promo code.

Here's my Idiris vs. Morales pick and prediction.

Tale of the Tape

IdirisMorales
Record11-0-013-2-0
Avg. Fight Time9:30
Height5'6"5'6"
Weight (pounds)125 lbs.125 lbs.
Reach (inches)69"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
Date of birth10/22/19948/22/1994
Sig Strikes Per Min0.001.58
SS Accuracy37%
SS Absorbed Per Min1.72
SS Defense60%
Take Down Avg0.53
TD Acc50%
TD Def23%
Submission Avg2.6

Idiris vs. Morales Pick, Prediction

The first bout on Saturday's card is the Ultimate Fighter 33 Flyweight tournament title bout between Kazakhstani Alibi Idiris and California native Joseph Morales, who had a prior three-fight run (1-2, including a loss to Deiveison Figueiredo) in the UFC from 2017 to 2018.

The fighters are similar in both measures and age; Idiris accumulated an unbeaten record on Naiza Fighting Championships – a Kazak regional promotion, while Morales has spent time in Cage Warriors since his first UFC stint.

As of Friday morning, no prop lines — or even a total — are as of yet available for this fight. We'll revisit this matchup on fight day, and I will update this section if necessary, if I find anything actionable.

For additional notifications about UFC 319 bets, follow me in the Action Network App.

Projection: Idiris (79.4%) 

Sean's Pick: TBD

About the Author
Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.

Follow Sean Zerillo @SeanZerillo on Twitter/X.

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