Ateba Gauthier vs. Andrey Pulyaev Odds
| Gauthier Odds | -950 |
| Pulyaev Odds | +625 |
| Over/Under | 1.5 (+170/-220) |
| Location | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV |
| Bout Time | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | Paramount+ |
| UFC 324 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 324 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Check out the Ateba Gauthier vs. Andrey Pulyaev prediction for UFC 324 on Saturday, January 24, along with my betting preview and breakdown.
Here's my Gauthier vs. Pulyaev pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Gauthier | Pulyaev | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-1-0 | 10-3-0 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 3:51 | 12:10 |
| Height | 6'4" | 6'4" |
| Weight (pounds) | 185 lbs. | 185 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 81" | 78" |
| Stance | Switch | Southpaw |
| Date of birth | 4/10/2002 | 9/10/1997 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 6.57 | 3.60 |
| SS Accuracy | 60% | 41% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 1.95 | 3.81 |
| SS Defense | 53% | 60% |
| Take Down Avg | 0.98 | 3.51 |
| TD Acc | 100% | 16% |
| TD Def | 92% | 64% |
| Submission Avg | 0 | 0.4 |
Gauthier vs. Pulyaev Pick, Prediction
Ateba Gautier is a frightening prospect at middleweight, with a significant power and reach advantage (3" over Pulyaev) against the majority of the 185-pound division.
Gautier has finished each of his promotional fights in the first round, following a second-round knockout on Contender Series. Still, he's priced in this matchup like he's he's facing a short notice debutant, or contender series loser, as opposed to Pulyaev – who earned a contract himself with a win on Contender Series (albeit as a +200 underdog), and has a 1-1 promotional record (with a win over Nick Klein, who also pulled an upset on Contender Series).
Pulyaev has a round 1 knockout loss regionally from 2023, and doesn't offer much of a grappling threat to force Gautier to stay measured at range; however, he showed toughness in his loss to Christian Leroy Duncan, and I wouldn't be surprised to see him withstand some damage against Gautier while sticking around until the back half of the fight. His best chance is to play rope-a-dope and look to survive until Gautier potentially wilts.
If I had a free bet on this fight, I would consider an SGP with Gautier and the Under 1.5 Rounds (-200). However, I don't project actionable value here – on any sides, totals, or props, and it's an easy spot to pass from a betting perspective.
Projection: Ateba Gautier (86.6%)
Sean's Picks: Pass
