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Baisangur Susurkaev vs. Eric McConico Prediction, Pick, Odds for UFC 322 (Saturday, November 15)

Baisangur Susurkaev vs. Eric McConico Prediction, Pick, Odds for UFC 322 (Saturday, November 15) article feature image
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Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images. Pictured: Baisangur Susurkaev

Baisangur Susurkaev vs. Eric McConico

Susurkaev Odds-1050
McConico Odds+675
Over/Under1.5 (+195/-265)
LocationMadison Square Garden, New York City, NY
Bout Time6:45 p.m. ET
TV/StreamingESPN+
UFC 322 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 322 with our DraftKings promo code.

Check out the Baisangur Susurkaev vs. Eric McConico prediction for UFC 322on Saturday, November 15, along with my betting preview and breakdown.

Here's my Susurkaev vs. McConico pick and prediction.

Tale of the Tape

SusurkaevMcConico
Record10-0-010-3-1
Avg. Fight Time5:0310:17
Height6'2"6'0"
Weight (pounds)185 lbs.185 lbs.
Reach (inches)79"77"
StanceOrthodoxSouthpaw
Date of birth1/8/20015/9/1990
Sig Strikes Per Min4.561.51
SS Accuracy58%36%
SS Absorbed Per Min2.882.48
SS Defense57%52%
Take Down Avg2.980.00
TD Acc28%0%
TD Def100%57%
Submission Avg1.50.0

Susurkaev vs. McConico Pick, Prediction

Baisangur Susurkaev enters UFC 322 as the heaviest moneyline favorite on Saturday's card, after closing as a -1200 favorite in his UFC debut in August against Eric Nolan – just four days after his contract-winning performance on Contender Series.

Surukaev is the bigger man than McConico (2" taller, 2" reach advantage), and more than a decade younger than his opponent, too. He's also the more explosive and durable athlete, with a more well-rounded skillset.

McConico can navigate his way to a comeback when his opponents tend to fade. Still, Susurkaev, who seemed a bit diminished against Nolan, after cutting weight twice within the same week, is unlikely to leave a do.or open for him to rally late in the fight.

I do show a slight edge on Susurkaev's moneyline (projected -1058, listed -835 at BetRivers) or his odds to win by decision (projected +544, listed +600 at BetMGM), depending on the book. I would consider using his moneyline up to -1000 in a parlay; otherwise, I would likely pass on betting on this matchup.

Projection: Baisangur Susurkaev (91.4%)

Sean's Pick: Slight edge to Susurkaev to win by decision (+600) or Parlay his moneyline play elsewhere 

Author Profile
About the Author

Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.

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