Bo Nickal vs Kyle Daukaus Odds
| Nickal Odds | -310 |
| Daukaus Odds | +250 |
| Over/Under | 1.5 (-160/+124) |
| Location | White House Lawn, Washington DC |
| Bout Time | 8:45 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | Paramount+ |
| UFC Freedom 250 odds as of Friday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC Freedom 250 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Check out the Bo Nickal vs Kyle Daukaus prediction for UFC Freedom 250 on Sunday, June 14 along with my betting preview and breakdown.
Tale of the Tape
| Nickal | Daukaus | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-1 | 17-4 (1 NC) |
| Avg. Fight Time | 6:03 | 7:55 |
| Height | 6'1" | 6'2" |
| Weight (pounds) | 185 lbs. | 185 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 76" | 76" |
| Stance | Southpaw | Southpaw |
| Date of birth | 1/14/1996 | 2/27/1993 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 3.35 | 3.32 |
| SS Accuracy | 61% | 53% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 2.07 | 2.90 |
| SS Defense | 59% | 42% |
| Take Down Avg | 3.10 | 2.08 |
| TD Acc | 55% | 25% |
| TD Def | 100% | 82% |
| Submission Avg | 2.5 | 2.1 |
My model projects value both on the underdog, Kyle Daukaus, and on this middleweight bout reaching a decision.
Bo Nickal is the better athlete and a far superior wrestler to Kyle Daukaus. Still, Daukaus is the more polished MMA fighter, with better distance-striking numbers and an elite series of front headlock chokes, which has earned him the nickname "The D'arce Knight".
The threat of those chokes could make Nickal cautious about shooting recklessly and could create a relatively slow-paced kickboxing match between a pair of fighters who prefer to grapple.
Daukaus maintains a higher pace (7.2 to 4.4 landed per minute) and has proven to be the slightly more efficient striker than Nickal. Still, at a minimum, I like his ability to compete in this fight and avoid getting finished by Nickal, whose overall game is still a work in progress.
Nickal vs Daukaus Pick, Prediction
Nickal is a highly popular selection this week, but this fight isn't necessarily a layup; take Daukaus to +210, and either bet the goes-to-decision to +160 or play the Over 1.5 Rounds to -160.
Lastly, consider Daukaus by decision (+900) as a longshot round-robin leg.
Zerillo's Picks:
- Kyle Daukaus (+265, 0.25u), Caesars; bet to +210
- Over 1.5 Rounds (-145, 0.25u), DraftKings, bet to -160
