Check out my Ferreira vs McVey prediction for UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19.
Ferreira is 4-2 in the UFC and is coming off a submission win back in March. McVey, meanwhile, is 6-0 as a professional and will be making his UFC debut. All of his professional wins are finishes.
Here's my Ferreira vs McVey pick for tonight.
Brunno Ferreira vs Jackson McVey Odds
Ferreira Odds | -675 |
McVey Odds | +490 |
Over/Under | 1.5 Rounds (+195/ -260) |
Location | Smoothie King Center | New Orleans |
Bout Time | 6:45 p.m. ET |
TV/Streaming | ESPN+ |
UFC 318 odds via DraftKings as of Friday night. Bet the UFC with our DraftKings promo code |
Ferreira vs McVey Pick
Jackson McVey will make his UFC debut on Saturday after separate cancellations of bouts with Sedriques Dumas. McVey is the bigger man (5" taller, 5" reach advantage) than Brunno Ferreira, and is 6-0 as a professional with every win coming inside of four minutes, including four first-minute finishes; however, his opponents have a combined record of 22-27.
Ferreira is 5-2 in the UFC, including a contract-earning performance on Contender Series. While he's both small for the division (and significantly smaller than the 6'2", 79" reach of Dumas) and extremely hittable (49% striking defense), Hulk is a highly powerful and dangerous test for McVey's first UFC bout.
Like McVey, Ferreira has finished each of his professional wins inside the distance, so that the cardio could be a potential disaster on either side of an extended fight between this pair.
Ultimately, I do show a slight edge on the underdog (projected +390) or McVey inside the distance (projected +464, listed +500), but I'm inclined to pass on this fight from a betting perspective.
However, you should have nearly 100% ownership on this fight in DFS, with odds set at -1400 (and projected -1009) to end inside the distance, and north of -250 to finish in 7.5 minutes or less.
Ferreira vs McVey Predictions
- Pass