Brunno Ferreira vs Jackson McVey Prediction, Pick, Odds for UFC 318 (July 19)

Brunno Ferreira vs Jackson McVey Prediction, Pick, Odds for UFC 318 (July 19) article feature image
Credit:

Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn Images. Pictured: Brunno Ferreira

Check out my Ferreira vs McVey prediction for UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19.

Ferreira is 4-2 in the UFC and is coming off a submission win back in March. McVey, meanwhile, is 6-0 as a professional and will be making his UFC debut. All of his professional wins are finishes.

Here's my Ferreira vs McVey pick for tonight.

Brunno Ferreira vs Jackson McVey Odds

Ferreira Odds-675
McVey Odds+490
Over/Under1.5 Rounds (+195/ -260)
LocationSmoothie King Center | New Orleans
Bout Time6:45 p.m. ET
TV/StreamingESPN+
UFC 318 odds via DraftKings as of Friday night. Bet the UFC with our DraftKings promo code

Ferreira vs McVey Pick

Jackson McVey will make his UFC debut on Saturday after separate cancellations of bouts with Sedriques Dumas. McVey is the bigger man (5" taller, 5" reach advantage) than Brunno Ferreira, and is 6-0 as a professional with every win coming inside of four minutes, including four first-minute finishes; however, his opponents have a combined record of 22-27.

Ferreira is 5-2 in the UFC, including a contract-earning performance on Contender Series. While he's both small for the division (and significantly smaller than the 6'2", 79" reach of Dumas) and extremely hittable (49% striking defense), Hulk is a highly powerful and dangerous test for McVey's first UFC bout.

Like McVey, Ferreira has finished each of his professional wins inside the distance, so that the cardio could be a potential disaster on either side of an extended fight between this pair.

Ultimately, I do show a slight edge on the underdog (projected +390) or McVey inside the distance (projected +464, listed +500), but I'm inclined to pass on this fight from a betting perspective.

However, you should have nearly 100% ownership on this fight in DFS, with odds set at -1400 (and projected -1009) to end inside the distance, and north of -250 to finish in 7.5 minutes or less.

Ferreira vs McVey Predictions

  • Pass

About the Author
Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.

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