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Cam Rowston vs Cody Brundage Prediction, Pick, Odds for UFC 325 (Saturday, January 31)

Cam Rowston vs Cody Brundage Prediction, Pick, Odds for UFC 325 (Saturday, January 31) article feature image
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Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images. Pictured: Cody Brundage

Cam Rowston vs Cody Brundage Odds

Rowston Odds-375
Brundage Odds+295
Over/Under1.5 (-115/-115)
LocationQudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia
Bout Time8:15 p.m. ET
TV/StreamingParamount+
UFC 325 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 325 with our DraftKings promo code.

Check out the Cam Rowston vs Cody Brundage prediction for UFC 325 on Saturday, January 31, along with my betting preview and breakdown.

Here's my Rowston vs Brundage pick and prediction.

Tale of the Tape

RowstonBrundage
Record13-311-7-1 (1 NC)
Avg. Fight Time6:536:48
Height6'3"6'0"
Weight (pounds)185 lbs.185 lbs.
Reach (inches)78"72"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
Date of birth1/19/19955/16/1994
Sig Strikes Per Min3.392.20
SS Accuracy45%51%
SS Absorbed Per Min2.372.72
SS Defense49%49%
Take Down Avg0.732.05
TD Acc50%46%
TD Def28%68%
Submission Avg0.70.6

Rowston vs Brundage Pick, Prediction

There are several spots on this card where the UFC is trying to give a local fighter a highlight reel win. Still, Cody Brundage could prove a difficult stylistic matchup for Cam Rowston, who was taken down ten times (and held for 11 minutes) in his contender series loss to Torrez Finney.

Rowston is the much bigger man than Brundage (3" taller, 6" reach advantage), and the far better technical striker – he should maul Brundage at distance. Still, he may need to fend off takedowns early, and you might find a better live price on the favorite after Round 1.

Both men are aggressive (49% striking defense for either), and while the game plan against Brundage is to typically outlast him and wait for him to give up in the second half of the fight, Rowston is favored to win in Round 1 (+190), and his odds to win in Round 2 (+300) aren't particularly appealing. An SGP with Rowston and Under 1.5 (+120) is similarly unappealing, considering Brundage's start fast and die pacing.

While I don't project an edge on either the side or the total, I do see more equity in Rowston by KO/TKO (projected +135, listed +175) and less in Rowston by submission (projected +455, listed +210) than the betting market suggests.

Play Rowston by knockout to +150, and watch the live market during if Brundage takes him down early.

Projection: Rowston (76.6%)

Sean's Picks:

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About the Author

Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.

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