Check out the Chris Gutierrez vs. Farid Basharat prediction for UFC 320 on Saturday, October 4, with my betting preview and breakdown.
Chris Gutierrez vs. Farid Basharat Odds
| Gutierrez Odds | +350 |
| Basharat Odds | -450 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (-320 / +220) |
| Location | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas |
| Bout Time | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ |
| UFC 320 odds as of Saturday and via bet365. Bet on UFC 320 with our bet365 promo code. | |
Here's my Gutierrez vs. Basharat pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Gutierrez | Basharat | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 22-6-2 | 13-0-0 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 13:27 | 12:51 |
| Height | 5'9" | 5'8" |
| Weight (pounds) | 135 lbs. | 135 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 67" | 71" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 4/22/1991 | 8/02/1997 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 4.59 | 4.36 |
| SS Accuracy | 58% | 55% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 2.65 | 2.57 |
| SS Defense | 63% | 59% |
| Take Down Avg | 0.24 | 3.97 |
| TD Acc | 25% | 0% |
| TD Def | 90% | 44% |
| Submission Avg | 0.1 | 0.5 |
Gutierrez vs. Basharat Pick, Prediction
I consider the unbeaten, younger Farid Basharat as the better of the two Basharat brothers. However, neither Farid nor his brother Javid offers much power or finishing upside in their matchups – often forcing them to fight to a decision on relatively thin margins.
Farid has a 4" reach advantage over Chris Gutierrez. Still, the American is the far more efficient striker – outlanding opponents by 3.0 strikes per minute at distance, compared to less than one (0.7) for Basharat.
However, Basharat has the grappling upside (attempts 6.7 takedowns per five minutes at distance), and Gutierrez (70% takedown defense) has shown a tendency to get stuck on bottom against opponents (career 85% control rate for Basharat; 16% for Gutierrez).
I project an edge on Basharat's moneyline (projected -700) and would consider utilizing him as a parlay piece up to -650. However, I'd prefer to bet his decision prop (projected -215, listed -165) up to -195.
Projection: Farid Basharat (87.5%)
Sean's Pick:
- Farid Basharat wins by Decision (straight bet to -195; parlay piece to -205)
