Check out my Santos vs. Lee prediction for UFC 315 on Saturday, May 10.
Here's my Santos vs. Lee prediction for tonight.
Daniel Santos vs. Jeong-Yeong Lee Odds
| Santos Odds | +124 |
| Lee Odds | -148 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 Rounds (+100/-130) |
| Location | Centre Bell | Montreal, Quebec |
| Bout Time | 6:45 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ |
| UFC 315 odds via DraftKings as of Friday. Bet on UFC 315 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Daniel Santos vs. Jeong-Yeong Lee Pick
Daniel "Willycat" Santos missed weight on Friday after moving up from Bantamweight; he's at a significant size disadvantage against "Korean Tiger" Jeong Yeong Lee, who is set to close as a favorite for his third consecutive UFC bout.
Lee is the more natural Featherweight (3" taller, 6" reach advantage) and the more technical fighter.
Willycat is highly aggressive, providing relentless pace and pressure, but he's not particularly efficient at that activity (37% striking accuracy).
Still, Lee has struggled against pressure fighters, particularly in his last bout against "Hurricane" Hyder Amil, in which he suffered his first career knockout loss.
Since then, he's been booked twice against two opponents (Trevor Peek and Gavin Tucker) who pulled out of their matchups. Conversely, Santos has withdrawn from three consecutive fights—against Daniel Marcos, Said Nurmagomedov, and Davey Grant—since his last fight in June 2023. He then moved up in weight and was still heavy on the scales on Friday.
Public predictions are heavy toward Santos this week (north of 60% on average), while Lee has moved from +110 to at high as -142 as of writing; bet Lee's moneyline to -135, compared to my projection of -144.
Moreover, I expect this fight to reach a decision more often than the odds suggest (projected -127, listed +130) – compared to a divisional average of 48% (+108 implied) and view Lee as a value bet to win by decision projected +192, listed +350).
Daniel Santos vs. Jeong-Yeong Lee Predictions
Picks:
- Jeong Yeong Lee wins by Decision (+320, 0.1u) at FanDuel; bet to +225
- Lee/Santos, Over 2.5 Rounds (+115, 0.25u) at Fanatics; bet to +100
