Daniel Zellhuber vs. King Green Odds
| Zellhuber Odds | -500 |
| Green Odds | +380 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (-135/+105) |
| Location | Arena CDMX, Mexico city, Mexico |
| Bout Time | 9:45 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | Paramount+ |
| UFC Mexico odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC Mexico with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Check out the Daniel Zellhuber vs. King Green prediction for UFC Mexico on Saturday, February 28, along with my betting preview and breakdown.
The 26 year-old Daniel Zellhuber was victorious in three of his first four appearances inside a UFC Octagon, but he is now looking to rebound after dropping two consecutive bouts. Zellhuber will take on an organizational mainstay in the form of King (née Bobby) Green. Green is a true veteran of the sport, having more than 50 professional MMA fights with nearly 30 of those in the UFC. With an abundance of fights, the damage has accumulated throughout the career of Green, and that will ultimately be the deciding factor in the best position to take on this matchup.
Here's my Zellhuber vs. Green pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Zellhuber | Green | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 15-3 | 33-17-1 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 14:04 | 10:59 |
| Height | 6'1" | 5'10" |
| Weight (pounds) | 155 lbs. | 155 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 77" | 71" |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 7/7/1999 | 9/9/1986 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 5.83 | 6.30 |
| SS Accuracy | 39% | 52% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 5.91 | 3.64 |
| SS Defense | 56% | 62% |
| Take Down Avg | 0.15 | 1.21 |
| TD Acc | 25% | 40% |
| TD Def | 94% | 72% |
| Submission Avg | 0.1 | 0.3 |
King Green is highly experienced and he fights with a veteran savvy that is often a difficult puzzle for younger fighters to solve. He proved in his last fight that he undoubtedly still has the ability and grit to remain competitive against all but the top of the lightweight division. Green landed more than twice as many significant strikes than his opponent, as he showcased the flashes of brilliance we have seen whenever he can get into a striking rhythm.
If you cannot put away Green and end his night early, it is fair to expect a battle for 15 minutes. Green out-struck Lance Gibson Jr. in round three 28 to 6 in significant strikes and did the same to Jim Miller back in 2024, when he out-landed Miller 82 to 20 in the third frame.
Green is 2-3 in his last five fights, with all three losses coming in the first round. His durability remains in question at the advanced fighting age of 39. However, the moneyline oddsmakers have assigned to this fight feels wide.
Zellhuber has yet to record a knockout at the UFC level, and he has also failed to finish a fight within the first eight minutes. All signs point to an extended striking battle if you are simply looking at past results.
With all of that said, Zellhuber has had a very difficult strength of schedule given how the matchmaking has turned out. While he didn’t look particularly sharp or aggressive in his loss to Michael Johnson, Johnson is a highly technical striker with tremendous handspeed. King Green fights in a much different manner, one that will present more openings for Zellhuber to land power shots.
Zellhuber will be fighting in front of his home crowd, and there shouldn’t be much of a chance he is looking past Green with the lesson learned from his loss to Johnson. Not only will Zellhuber avoid underestimating his opponent, but his coaching staff will implore him to gain the respect of Green by standing his ground during the early striking exchanges.
Green has a highly effective jab that he can use to dictate fights, but it will be Zellhuber who needs to keep his opponent at the end of punches while he attacks the legs of Green with low kicks. Zellhuber will have to walk a fine line between fighting at a comfortable distance with his length advantage, while not becoming too risk averse. Landing low kicks will change the eye level of Green, and will open up an even easier path for the lengthy Zellhuber to land a fight-changing high kick.
Zellhuber vs. Green Pick, Prediction
A fast start for Zellhuber is not only a key for him, but his willingness to engage with Green inside the pocket is vital to winning the wager I will be recommending.
As mentioned, Zellhuber has had to take on several fighters that have proven very difficult to finish throughout his UFC career. Green’s waning durability is reaching a level where any plus-money on under 2.5 rounds must be considered.
King Green’s slick boxing style can frustrate even some of the best strikers in the lightweight division, but his low defensive guard combined with his desire to put on exciting fights does not lend itself to many of his bouts reaching the judges’ scorecards. If this fight ends inside the distance, it’s highly unlikely any Green fight from this point forward will be priced as this fight is, where the over 2.5 rounds favored.
Under 2.5 rounds will encompass the result of a club and sub from the Zellhuber side, and gives us another out in the form of a Green KO, although I do not foresee that result materializing. I will play into the narrative that Zellhuber will want to make his mark and redeem himself on his home turf by pushing for an exciting finish.
John's Picks: Under 2.5 rounds +105 (DraftKings)
