Donte Johnson vs. Cody Brundage Odds
| Johnson Odds | -850 |
| Brundage Odds | +575 |
| Over/Under | 1.5 (+145/-188) |
| Location | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada |
| Bout Time | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | Paramount+ |
| UFC 326 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 326 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Check out the Donte Johnson vs. Cody Brundage prediction for UFC 326 on Saturday, March 7, along with my betting preview and breakdown.
Here's my Johnson vs. Brundage pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Johnson | Brundage | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-0 | 11-8-1 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 3:45 | 6:58 |
| Height | 5'8" | 6'0" |
| Weight (pounds) | 185 lbs. | 185 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 74" | 72" |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 1/25/1999 | 5/16/1994 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 3.34 | 2.29 |
| SS Accuracy | 64% | 50% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 1.87 | 3.03 |
| SS Defense | 58% | 49% |
| Take Down Avg | 6.01 | 1.87 |
| TD Acc | 100% | 44% |
| TD Def | 80% | 68% |
| Submission Avg | 2.0 | 0.6 |
Johnson vs. Brundage Pick, Prediction
Projection: Johnson (91.3%)
Cody Brundage sought clearance from an external doctor to fight and avoid completing the mandatory 90-day suspension following a knockout loss after being finished by Cam Rowston in Australia on January 31.
My podcast cohost, Billy Ward, theorized that the promotion planned to cut Brundage, but instead brought him back on short notice in place of Dusko Todorovic, to flatter Donte Johnson, who followed up his Contender Series win (as a -250 favorite) with a second-round submission over Sedriques Dumas (as a -375 favorite):
Johnson is four inches shorter than Brundage, both own a two-inch reach advantage, is five years younger, and is a significantly better athlete. He competed at Heavyweight earlier in his regional career and is unbeaten as a pro; the cardio is the primary concern in his profile. Johnson won decisions as an amateur, but has finished all of his pro fights by the seven-minute mark.
Still, Brundage doesn't have a good gas tank either; I typically bet Round 2 and Round 3 props on his opponent, but given the recent KO loss, I can't in this instance.
My model projects value on Johnson to make it consecutive KO losses for Brundage; I set that prop at -198, compared to the listed odds of -165, and think I would rather lay the juice than bet his Round 1 prop (+100) or Round 1 KO prop (+145).
Moreover, I would use Johnson as a parlay piece, up to -900 (projected -950).
Zerillo's Pick:
- Utilize Donte Johnson as a Parlay Piece (up to -900)
