Farid Basharat vs John Garza Odds
| Basharat Odds | -600 |
| Garza Odds | +440 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (-120/-110) |
| Location | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada |
| Bout Time | 6:15 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | Paramount+ |
| UFC 329 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 329 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Check out the Farid Basharat vs John Garza prediction for UFC 329 on Saturday, July 11, along with my betting preview and breakdown.
Here's my Basharat vs. Garza pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Basharat | Garza | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 15-0 | 6-1 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 13:28 | n/a |
| Height | 5'8" | 5'7" |
| Weight (pounds) | 135 lbs. | 135 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 71" | 68" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 8/2/1997 | 10/30/2002 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 4.25 | 0.00 |
| SS Accuracy | 52% | 0% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 2.89 | 0.00 |
| SS Defense | 62% | 0% |
| Take Down Avg | 3.34 | 0 |
| TD Acc | 44% | 0% |
| TD Def | 54% | 0% |
| Submission Avg | 0.3 | 0 |
Basharat vs. Garza Pick, Prediction
John Garza is an excellent boxer, stepping up on short notice for his UFC debut in place of Ethyn Ewing. Still, he'll need to immediately prove his counter-grappling against unbeaten Farid Basharat (averages 3.3 takedowns landed per 15 minutes, 44% accuracy) if he wants to pull the upset.
Basharat isn't the most exciting fighter (one finish in seven UFC bouts), and he often fails to comfortably separate himself from opponents due to his lack of significant power. Moreover, despite his unbeaten record, this is the last fight on his UFC contract, and the promotion recently released his older brother, Javid.
As a result, while I do project an edge on Basharat to win by Decision (projected -108, listed +130), and would consider that prop at any plus money price, I do think he will be more aggressive in pursuit of a finish (likely via submission) with his roster spot on the line.
As a result, I have tepid feelings about locking in that prop, but it's the only angle showing actionable value at the time of publication.
Zerillo's Pick: Farid Basharat Over 2.5 Takedowns (+110, 0.1u), Caesars; bet to -105, Farid Basharat wins by Decision (+140, 0.1u), HardRockBet; bet to +100
