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Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison Prediction, Picks, Odds for UFC 329 (Saturday, July 11)

Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison Prediction, Picks, Odds for UFC 329 (Saturday, July 11) article feature image
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Credit:

Mar 19, 2022; Detroit, MI, USA; Minnesota wrestler Gable Steveson takes his shoes off on the mat after defeating Arizona State wrestler Cohlton Schultz (not pictured) in the 285 pound weight class final match during the NCAA Wrestling Championships at Little Cesars Arena. Mandatory Credit: Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison Odds

Steveson Odds-1600
Ellison Odds+900
Over/Under1.5 (+380/-580)
LocationT-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
Bout Time8:15 p.m. ET
TV/StreamingParamount+
UFC 329 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 329 with our DraftKings promo code.

Check out the Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison prediction for UFC 329 on Saturday, July 11, along with my betting preview and breakdown.

Here's my Steveson vs. Ellison pick and prediction.

Tale of the Tape

StevesonEllison
Record3-05-2
Avg. Fight Timen/a1:55
Height5'11"6'0"
Weight (pounds)249 lbs.238 lbs.
Reach (inches)74"78"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
Date of birth5/31/20003/5/1997
Sig Strikes Per Minn/a1.57
SS Accuracyn/a33%
SS Absorbed Per Minn/a15.13
SS Defensen/a40%
Take Down Avgn/a0
TD Accn/a0%
TD Defn/a0%
Submission Avgn/a0

Gable Steveson vs Elisha Pick, Prediction

Gable Steveson will debut as one of, if not the biggest moneyline favorite in UFC history, against "The Snack Panther" Elisha Ellison.

Steveson – a former Olympic Gold Medalist and two-time Division-I national champion in wrestling- has long been considered (alongside Bo Nickal) the best American MMA prospect, and he'll make his octagon debut after just three fights and less than six combined minutes of cage time, as the UFC is desperate for heavyweight talent.

Relative to the market, I do show an edge on Steveson by KO/TKO (projected -376, listed -250) or would consider him by Round 1 KO/TKO (-150).

Alternatively, while I do project an edge on the fight to end inside the distance, consider Under 0.5 Rounds (+126) or a Same-Game Parlay (SGP) with Steveson and Under 0.5 Rounds or Steveson by KO/TKO and Under 0.5 Rounds.

Zerillo's Pick: SGP: Gable Steveson & Under 0.5 Rounds (+148, 0.15u), FanDuel; bet to +125

Author Profile
About the Author

Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.

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