Read for a Hamdy Abdelwahab vs. Chris Barnett prediction for UFC 321 on Saturday, October 25, with my betting pick and prediction.
Hamdy Abdelwahab vs. Chris Barnett Odds
| Abdelwahab Odds | -450 |
| Barnett Odds | +350 |
| Over/Under | 1.5 (-155 / +115) |
| Location | Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi |
| Bout Time | 10:40 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ |
| UFC 321 odds as of Saturday and via bet365. Bet on UFC 321 with our bet365 promo code. | |
Here's my Abdelwahab vs. Barnett pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Abdelwahab | Barnett | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-1-0 (1 NC) | 23-9-0 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 15:00 | 7:36 |
| Height | 6'2" | 5'9" |
| Weight (pounds) | 265 lbs. | 261 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 72" | 75" |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 1/22/1993 | 6/14/1986 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 3.49 | 4.21 |
| SS Accuracy | 49% | 47% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 4.49 | 6.53 |
| SS Defense | 51% | 39% |
| Take Down Avg | 1.33 | 0.00 |
| TD Acc | 66% | 0% |
| TD Def | 100% | 33% |
| Submission Avg | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Abdelwahab vs. Barnett Pick, Prediction
The UFC is doing its best to give former Olympic wrestler Hamdy Abdelwahab a finishable fight against Chris Barnett – potentially the shortest Heavyweight (5'9) in promotional history. Abdelwahab is 5" taller than Barnett, but Barnett owns a 3" reach advantage.
Still, Abdelwahab is the more durable fighter, with a better gas tank, and I expect him to outlast Barnett in the fight and potentially find a second or third-round finish, at odds of +490 and +1000, respectively.
Moreover, I project a significant edge on his moneyline, setting Abdelwahab's pricetag north of -1000 (projected -1047). I would consider utilizing him as a parlay piece, up to -900. Still, I'm not at all high on Hamdy as a fighter and would generally short his ceiling and future trajectory within the division.
Rather than laying significant juice on Hamdy – or in addition to placing a parlay – you can bet him to win inside the distance (projected -125, listed -110) or lean into his late-round finish props at plus money.
Projection: Abdelwahab (91.3%)
Sean's Pick:
- Hamdy Abdelwahab wins Inside the Distance (-110, 0.1u) at DraftKings; bet to -115
- Hamdy Abdelwahab wins in Round 2 (+450, 0.1u) at BetRivers; bet to +400
- Hamdy Abdelwahb wins in Round 3 (+1000, 0.05u) at Caesars; bet to +800
