Check out our Jessica Andrade vs. Loopy Godinez prediction for UFC 319 on Saturday, August 16, with my betting preview and breakdown.
Jessica Andrade vs. Loopy Godinez Odds
| Andrade Odds | +125 |
| Godínez Odds | -150 |
| Over/Under | 1.5 (-225/+16o) |
| Location | United Center, Chicago |
| Bout Time | 8:45 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ |
| UFC 319 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 319 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Here's my Andrade vs. Godinez pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Andrade | Godinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 26-14-0 | 13-5-0 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 9:21 | 13:41 |
| Height | 5'1" | 5'2" |
| Weight (pounds) | 115 lbs. | 115 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 62" | 61" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | Sep 25, 1991 | Sep 06, 1993 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 6.39 | 4.28 |
| SS Accuracy | 50% | 48% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 5.49 | 3.87 |
| SS Defense | 54% | 61% |
| Take Down Avg | 2.21 | 3.12 |
| TD Acc | 54% | 47% |
| TD Def | 71% | 81% |
| Submission Avg | 0.3 | 0.9 |
Andrade vs. Godinez Pick, Prediction
Jessica Andrade returns to the strawweight division on Saturday, where she holds the UFC divisional records for finishes (6) and knockouts (4) against Loopy Godinez, a well-rounded fighter who figures to proactively wrestle (averages 3.8 takedown attempts per five minutes at distance) against a dangerous striker.
Loopy is a popular favorite this week, driving my model projection towards the underdog, Andrade (projected +102; bet to +110), who is at size parity (1" shorter, 1" reach advantage) against a far less experienced fighter just two years her junior.
Andrade has certainly slowed in her recent fights — and is less willing to fight or scramble up from the bottom after takedowns than she used to be. She may be just past the point of no return, physically, at this stage of her career.
Still, this fight is heavily juiced to reach a decision (listed -270, projected -258). I would both bet Andrade on the moneyline and sprinkle her decision prop (projected +200, listed +250) in what I expect to amount to a close and competitive decision, where judges potentially prefer Andrade's power and damage (back down at 115) over Godinez's control time.
Projection: Godinez (50.9%)
Sean's Pick: Jessica Andrade (+126, 0.35u) at FanDuel (bet to +110)
