Check out my Crute vs Prachnio prediction for UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19.
Crute is winless in his last five UFC fights, although two of those have bizarrely been draws. Prior to that, he had won four of his first five UFC bouts. Prachnio is 4-6 in the UFC.
Here's my Crute vs Prachnio pick for tonight.
Jimmy Crute vs Marcin Prachnio Odds
| Crute Odds | -310 |
| Prachnio Odds | +250 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 Rounds (+110 / -140) |
| Location | Smoothie King Center | New Orleans |
| Bout Time | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ |
| UFC 318 odds via DraftKings as of Friday night. Bet the UFC with our DraftKings promo code | |
Crute vs Prachnio Pick
Jimmy Crute should have all of the grappling upside in this matchup (attempts six takedowns per five minutes at distance; 53% accuracy vs. 54% takedown defense for Prachnio; 67% vs. 15% control rate), but Marcin Prachnio is the more technical kickboxer (+2.8 to -1.2 strike differential per minute).
Neither fighter has a good chin, but I'd rate the punching power for either man as below average for the division. The likeliest ways this fight finishes are Prachnio destroying Crute with leg kicks and compromising his movement, or Crute sinking in a submission. Crute is 0-3-2 in his past five fights, winless since 2020, and desperate to see his hand raised, and Prachnio, who is eight years his senior, has been submitted in the third round in his two most recent losses.
