Josh Hokit vs. Denzel Freeman Odds
| Hokit Odds | -225 |
| Freeman Odds | +185 |
| Over/Under | 1.5 (-188/+145) |
| Location | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV |
| Bout Time | 6:15 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | Paramount+ |
| UFC 324 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 324 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Check out the Josh Hokit vs. Denzel Freeman prediction for UFC 324 on Saturday, January 24, along with my betting preview and breakdown.
Here's my Hokit vs. Freeman pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Hokit | Freeman | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-0-0 | 7-1-0 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 3:31 | 15:00 |
| Height | 6'1" | 6'1" |
| Weight (pounds) | 236 lbs. | 265 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 73" | 77" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Date of birth | 11/12/1997 | 11/10/1991 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 5.12 | 3.27 |
| SS Accuracy | 69% | 62% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 1.42 | 2.07 |
| SS Defense | 56% | 61% |
| Take Down Avg | 12.80 | 0.00 |
| TD Acc | 46% | 0% |
| TD Def | 0% | % |
| Submission Avg | 0 | 0 |
Hokit vs. Freeman Pick, Prediction
A pair of collegiate wrestlers will square off in Saturday's early Heavyweight tilt, as former All-American freestylist and NFL practice squad member fullback Josh Hokit faces an All-Marine Greco-Roman practitioner in Denzel Freeman.
Freeman is the bigger man — with a 4" reach advantage, and coming in with an additional 23 pounds on his body over Hokit at Friday's weigh-ins (257.5 vs. 234.5); still, I view Hokit as the superior athlete, better cage wrestler, and the much quicker fighter.
And while I bet on Freeman (as a best bet for that card!) in his UFC debut against Marek Bullo, I was wholly unimpressed with Freeman's effort; he didn't attempt a takedown and showed little striking urgency against an opponent who was subsequently cut after one fight — a rarity for the promotion, especially in a shallow Heavyweight division.
I show a small edge on Hokit's moneyline and would consider him a parlay piece at around -240.
I would also target Hokit Live after Round 1; Freeman may successfully cage-push him early, but I'd expect Hokit to eventually find his way back to striking range, where he can utilize his speed advantage.
I project an edge on Hokit's knockout prop (projected +175, listed +300). I would also consider betting him to win in Round 2 (+500) or 3 (+850), given the attritional effect his chain wrestling seems to have on Heavyweights.
Projection: Josh Hokit (70.9%)
Sean's Picks:
- SGP: Josh Hokit & Over 1.5 Rounds (+145, 0.2u) at BallyBet; bet to +125
- Josh Hokit wins in Round 2 (+500, 0.1u) at FanDuel; bet to +400
- Josh Hokit wins in Round 3 (+925, 0.05u) at Fanatics; bet to +800
- Josh Hokit Live after Round 1
