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Kaan Ofli vs Yizha Prediction, Pick, Odds for UFC 325 (Saturday, January 31)

Kaan Ofli vs Yizha Prediction, Pick, Odds for UFC 325 (Saturday, January 31) article feature image
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Daniel Dunn-Imagn Images. Pictured: Bruce Buffer

Kaan Ofli vs Yizha Odds

Ofli Odds+170
Yizha Odds-205
Over/Under2.5 (-220/+170)
LocationQudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia
Bout Time6:45 p.m. ET
TV/StreamingParamount+
UFC 325 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 325 with our DraftKings promo code.

Check out the Kaan Ofli vs Yizha prediction for UFC 325 on Saturday, January 31, along with my betting preview and breakdown.

Here's my Ofli vs Yizha pick and prediction.

Tale of the Tape

OfliYizha
Record13-4-126-5
Avg. Fight Time8:118:33
Height5'7"5'7"
Weight (pounds)145 lbs.145 lbs.
Reach (inches)66"71"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
Date of birth6/19/19931/8/1997
Sig Strikes Per Min1.792.97
SS Accuracy46%45%
SS Absorbed Per Min2.612.81
SS Defense60%47%
Take Down Avg0.613.51
TD Acc14%30%
TD Def0%54%
Submission Avg0.61.1

Ofli vs Yizha Pick, Prediction

I have been against both Kaan Ofli and Yizha in each of their five combined UFC bouts. Still, I do prefer the potential ceiling for Yizha, who is the bigger man (5" reach advantage), the better wrestler, and the younger athlete (by four years) than Ofli.

Ofli is perhaps the more educated striker (60% vs. 47% striking defense in limited samples), but Yizha moves with more fluidity – and less rigidity – in exchanges.

Moreover, Yizha combines proactive grappling with a solid gas tank, and Ofli has shown he can be taken down and controlled, as seen in his loss to Muhammad Naimov. If Yizha finds a back take, it should be a round in his favor – if not the end of the fight – and he could secure a 10-8 round from that position too.

If he's able to keep the fight standing and stay at range, I'd expect Ofli to remain competitive in a kickboxing match. Still, Yizha will pressure and force grappling exchanges throughout the contest, while maintaining a high pace and making things ugly.

I project an edge on both Yizha's moneyline (projected -240, listed -200) and the fight to end inside the distance (projected +112, listed +145); additionally, I show correlated value on Yizha to win by submission (projected +278, listed +420) or inside the distance (projected +175, listed +275).

Projection: Yizha (71.5%)

Sean's Picks:

  • Fight Ends inside the Distance (+145, 0.25u) at ScoreBet; bet to +120
  • Yizha wins Inside the Distance (+275, 0.1u) at DraftKings; bet to +200
  • Yizha wins by Submission (+420, 0.1u) at FanDuel; bet to +300

Author Profile
About the Author

Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.

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