Check out my Williams vs. Gustafsson prediction for UFC 316 on Saturday, June 7.
Here's my Williams vs. Gustafsson prediction for tonight.
Khaos Williams vs. Andreas Gustafsson Odds
| Williams Odds | -198 |
| Gustafsson Odds | +164 |
| Over/Under | 1.5 Rounds (-210/+160) |
| Location | Prudential Center | Newark, New Jersey |
| Bout Time | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ |
| UFC 316 odds via DraftKings as of Friday. Bet on UFC 316 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Williams vs. Gustafsson Pick
Andreas Gustafsson was supposed to debut on last week's APEX card, but he had separate bouts against Jeremiah Wells and Trevin Giles canceled.
As a result, Gustafsson had to fly across the country and cut weight for the second time in a week, and will now take on a larger and more powerful striker in Khaos Williams, compared to his recently cancelled bookings.
Fighting in the smaller APEX cage relps Gustafsson's clinch-heavy, cage-push style, but fighting in the larger octagon, at a 4" reach disadvantage, against a fighter with massive power for the division, is a significant downgrade for his chances.
Williams hasn't faced many grappling threats at the UFC level, and did prove the ability to scramble back to his feet and get his back off the cage in bouts against Michel Pereira and Randy Brown, but was recently taken down four times on five attempts before losing via D'Arce against Gabriel Bonfim.
Khaos is the more technical striker, but both men are hittable (Williams has a 43% striking defense). Khaos needs to stay on his bike and avoid getting cornered against the fence, where Gustafssson does his best work.
Ultimately, I don't project value on either side of the moneyline or the total. I'd be inclined to bet Gustafsson in the smaller confines of the APEX, but I'll pass on his debut in the 30-foot cage.
Williams vs. Gustafsson Predictions
Picks:
- Pass
