Natalia Silva vs. Rose Namajunas Odds
| Silva Odds | -340 |
| Namajunas Odds | +275 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (-660/+420) |
| Location | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV |
| Bout Time | 9:45 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | Paramount+ |
| UFC 324 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 324 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Check out the Natalia Silva vs. Rose Namajunas prediction for UFC 324 on Saturday, January 24, along with my betting preview and breakdown.
Here's my Silva vs. Namajunas pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Silva | Namajunas | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 19-5-1 | 15-7 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 12:46 | 15:39 |
| Height | 5'4" | 5'5" |
| Weight (pounds) | 125 lbs. | 125 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 65" | 65" |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 2/3/1997 | 6/29/1992 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 5.04 | 3.60 |
| SS Accuracy | 46% | 41% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 2.46 | 3.38 |
| SS Defense | 65% | 63% |
| Take Down Avg | 0.34 | 1.49 |
| TD Acc | 25% | 50% |
| TD Def | 92% | 62% |
| Submission Avg | 0 | 0.4 |
Silva vs. Namajunas Pick, Prediction
With her consensus pricetag closer to -350, I would have recommended Natalia Silva as a parlay piece against Rose Namajunas; she should have a significant speed advantage and prove to be the far more efficient striker (outlanding opponents by 3.2 strikes per minute, compared to 0.3 for Namajunas) across a 15-minute contest. You can include her in a parlay up to -380.
Silva offers excellent footwork and movement, attacks opponents from unique angles, and maintains her balance while offering excellent defense (92%) against reactive takedowns.
Namajunas likely needs to grapple to win this fight; she has three times the control rate (67% vs. 21%) as Silva in grappling exchanges, and unless she lands takedowns and controls Silva on the mat, or finds a head kick as she did against Zhang Weili, I'd expect her to lose a fairly one-sided decision.
I do show small edges on the fight to go to Decision (projected -445, listed -400) or Silva to win by decision (projected -193, listed -180), depending upon the book; however, I might prefer her pointspread (-3.5, -115) up to -125, as she ascends toward title contention.
Projection: Natalia Silva (79.6%)
Sean's Pick: Natalia Silva Live after Round 1 | Natalia Silva as a Parlay Piece (to -380)
