Read for a Nathaniel Wood vs. Jose Delgado prediction for UFC 321 on Saturday, October 25, with my betting pick and prediction.
Nathaniel Wood vs. Jose Delgado Odds
| Wood Odds | -600 |
| Delgado Odds | +450 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (-300 / +210) |
| Location | Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi |
| Bout Time | 3:00 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ |
| UFC 321 odds as of Saturday and via bet365. Bet on UFC 321 with our bet365 promo code. | |
Here's my Wood vs. Delgado pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Wood | Delgado | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 21-6-0 | 10-1-0 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 13:18 | 3:16 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'11" |
| Weight (pounds) | 145 lbs. | 145 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 69" | 74" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Switch |
| Date of birth | 5/8/1993 | 4/21/1998 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 5.66 | 7.13 |
| SS Accuracy | 51% | 49% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 3.89 | 3.67 |
| SS Defense | 56% | 55% |
| Take Down Avg | 1.41 | 4.58 |
| TD Acc | 48% | 60% |
| TD Def | 72% | 71% |
| Submission Avg | 0.6 | 0.0 |
Wood vs. Delgado Pick, Prediction
Jose Delgado missed weight by one pound on Friday and forfeited 20% of his purse as a penalty to keep the fight on the card.
He is the bigger man in this matchup (5" taller, 5" reach advantage) than former bantamweight Nathaniel Wood, who has shown a decided speed advantage against featherweights after moving up to 145.
Still, while Wood's past eight fights have gone to a decision, he has been wobbled or knocked down in several of those contests, and Delgado could be the most dangerous fighter he has faced over that span.
As a result, while I project value on Delgado's moneyline (projected -160, listed -143), I'm also inclined to bet his knockout prop (projected +175, listed +235); I view Wood as the superior technician and point fighter in an extended contest, but he could also drop a decision due to the power discrepancy.
Projection: Delgado (61.7%)
Sean's Pick:
- Jose Delgado (-143, 0.2u) at BetRivers; bet to -150
- Jose Delgado wins by KO/TKO (+235, 0.2u) at BallyBet; bet to +190
