Check out my Stirling vs. Erslan prediction for UFC 315 on Saturday, May 10.
Here's my Stirling vs. Erslan prediction for tonight.
Navajo Stirling vs. Ivan Erslan Odds
| Stirling Odds | -340 |
| Erslan Odds | +270 |
| Over/Under | 1.5 Rounds (-175/+135) |
| Location | Centre Bell | Montreal, Quebec |
| Bout Time | 6:45 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ |
| UFC 315 odds via DraftKings as of Friday. Bet on UFC 315 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Stirling vs. Erslan Pick
Navajo Stirling is my most significant projected moneyline edge on Saturday's card – I set the City Kickboxing product as a -487 favorite (83% implied), compared to listed odds of -320 (76.2% implied).
You can bet Stirling's moneyline up to -425 (81% implied) or use him as a parlay piece to -455 (82% implied).
Stirling is six years younger than Erslan, but the much bigger man, two inches taller, with a seven-inch reach advantage, should dominate at kicking range while Erslan struggles to close the distance and land boxing combinations.
Moreover, on our UFC Betting Preview, my colleague Billy Ward recommended betting Stirling, who is a patient counterstriker, to win in Round 2 (+480) or Round 3 (+750) rather than taking even money or laying small juice on his KO/TKO prop (projected -113, listed +100).
Additionally, consider a live bet on Stirling after Round 1. Erslan may develop a grappling-oriented game plan early and attempt to impose his physicality. If so, Stirling will simply look to resist and let his opponent tire himself out in the early stages, before swinging the momentum.
Stirling vs. Erslan Predictions
Picks:
- Parlay (-116, 0.5u) at DraftKings: Navajo Stirling (-310) & Natalia Silva (-245); Use Stirling as a Parlay Piece to -455
- Navajo Stirling wins in Round 2 (+450, 0.1u) at ESPNBet
- Navajo Stirling wins in Round 3 (+750, 0.05u) at ESPNBet
- Navajo Stirling Live after Round 1
