Check out the Patchy Mix vs. Jakub Wiklacz prediction for UFC 320 on Saturday, October 4, with my betting preview and breakdown.
Patchy Mix vs. Jakub Wiklacz Odds
| Mix Odds | -334 |
| Wiklacz Odds | +250 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (-120 / -120) |
| Location | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas |
| Bout Time | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ |
| UFC 320 odds as of Saturday and via bet365. Bet on UFC 320 with our bet365 promo code. | |
Here's my Mix vs. Wiklacz pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Mix | Wiklacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 20-2-0 | 16-3-2 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 15:00 | — |
| Height | 5'11" | 5'10" |
| Weight (pounds) | 135 lbs. | 135 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 70" | 72" |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 8/16/1993 | 9/10/1996 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 8.13 | — |
| SS Accuracy | 40% | 0% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 11.53 | 0.00 |
| SS Defense | 42% | 0% |
| Take Down Avg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| TD Acc | 0% | 0% |
| TD Def | 0% | 0% |
| Submission Avg | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Mix vs. Wiklacz Pick, Prediction
Former Bellator champion Patchy Mix dropped an extremely underwhelming decision to Mario Bautista as a -174 underdog in his UFC debut, and will now face former KSW champion Jakub Wiklacz – as an even more significant favorite – in his sophomore outing.
Mix is the better athlete – and wrestler – but Wiklacz has a jiu-jitsu black belt, and has recorded 10 of 16 career wins by submission; I'd expect Mix to gain top position in the fight, but anticipate that Wiklacz will survive on bottom and potentially set up opportunities to lock in a triangle.
This is also a matchup where Mix could have a rare, clear striking advantage. Still, Wiklacz, like Mix, has extensive fight-round experience for a UFC debutant – as a champion of a high-level regional promotion – and I'd expect him to hang tough until the final bell.
I project value both on Mix's moneyline (projected -369; bet to -330) and for the fight to reach a decision (projected -149, listed -120). Moreover, I show correlated value on Mix to win by decision (projected +119, listed +175), which I would bet down to +130.
Projection: Patchy Mix (78.7%)
Sean's Pick:
- Patchy Mix wins by Decision (+175, 0.25u) at FanDuel; bet to +130
