Check out the Punahele Soriano vs. Nikolay Veretennikov prediction for UFC 320 on Saturday, October 4, with my betting preview and breakdown.
Punahele Soriano vs. Nikolay Veretennikov Odds
| Soriano Odds | -334 |
| Veretennikov Odds | +250 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (-105 / -135) |
| Location | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas |
| Bout Time | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ |
| UFC 320 odds as of Saturday and via bet365. Bet on UFC 320 with our bet365 promo code. | |
Here's my Soriano vs. Veretennikov pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Soriano | Veretennikov | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 11-4-0 | 13-6-0 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 9:09 | 13:33 |
| Height | 5'11" | 6'1" |
| Weight (pounds) | 170 lbs. | 170 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 72" | 74" |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 11/22/1992 | 12/22/1989 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 5.00 | 3.01 |
| SS Accuracy | 53% | 55% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 3.88 | 3.43 |
| SS Defense | 48% | 46% |
| Take Down Avg | 1.47 | 55 |
| TD Acc | 56% | 18% |
| TD Def | 37% | 62% |
| Submission Avg | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Soriano vs. Veretennikov Pick, Prediction
I don't project value on either the side or total for this welterweight bout; however, I do show a slight edge on the favorite, Puna Soriano, to win by KO/TKO (projected +118, listed +140), which you can take down to around +125.
I'd expect him to utilize his state champion wrestling base to take Veretennikov down and land ground and pound from top position.
On the feet, Soriano carries significant power in his left hand and has finished nine of his 11 career wins inside of six minutes. Still, he tends to fade in the second half of his matchups, and his power doesn't necessarily carry into the latter part of his fights.
As a result, you could likely optimize by betting Soriano to win by KO/TKO in Round 1 (+310) or playing him in an SGP with the Under 1.5 Rounds (+200 at DraftKings); I likely prefer the latter.
Either way, I'd look to target Veretennikov live after five minutes, provided that he hasn't absorbed too much damage – or lost a 10-8 round – to that point.
Projection: Soriano (75.2%)
Sean's Picks:
- SGP: Punahele Soriano & Under 1.5 Rounds (+200, 0.1u) at Draftkings; bet to +155
- Nikolay Verettennikov Live after Round 1
