Quillan Salkilld vs Jamie Mullarkey Odds
| Salkilld Odds | -1000 |
| Mullarkey Odds | +650 |
| Over/Under | 1.5 (+130/-166) |
| Location | Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia |
| Bout Time | 9:15 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | Paramount+ |
| UFC 325 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 325 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Check out the Quillan Salkilld vs Jamie Mullarkey prediction for UFC 325 on Saturday, January 31, along with my betting preview and breakdown.
Here's my Salkilld vs Mullarkey pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Salkilld | Mullarkey | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 10-1 | 18-8 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 8:12 | 9:54 |
| Height | 6'0" | 6'0" |
| Weight (pounds) | 155 lbs. | 155 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 75" | 74" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 12/28/1999 | 8/17/1994 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 5.49 | 4.20 |
| SS Accuracy | 57% | 46% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 3.50 | 4.34 |
| SS Defense | 43% | 54% |
| Take Down Avg | 7.77 | 2.40 |
| TD Acc | 34% | 29% |
| TD Def | 100% | 78% |
| Submission Avg | 0.5 | 0.1 |
Salkilld vs Mullarkey Pick, Prediction
Quillan Salkilld is the most significant moneyline favorite on Saturday's card, lined at -1000 (90.9% implied) or higher against Jamie Mullarkey, a solid veteran with a 6-6 promotional record.
Salkilld is the better striker, but Mullarkey may have the wrestling advantage (83% vs. 78% control rate). Salkilld was taken down and controlled regionally in separate bouts against Dom Mar Fan before finishing those fights himself.
While Salkilld is a skilled offensive grappler who has pushed a high pace in a limited UFC sample, he still has something to prove concerning his defensive wrestling and grappling. I'dd anticipate that Mullarkey, who has recorded his past four losses by KO/TKO, and shot 17 times in his last bout (5:41 control), will proactively grapple from the outset.
I do project slight value both on the fight to go to a decision (projected +397, listed +490) and Salkilld to win by decision (projected +560, listed +700); still, Mullarkey is a short notice replacement (for Rongzhu) and he hasn't shown the ability to absorb big shots from opponents – or absorb damage without his facial scar tissue opening up – in recent years.
If you gave me a free bet on this fight, I would ideally play an SGP (Same-Game Parlay) with Salkilld and Over 1.5, but that only pays out +120, compared to +700 for Salkilld by decision – a far superior wager.
I also considered Salkilld to win in Round 2 (+280) or Round 3 (+700). Mullarkey tends to start fast before giving away the fight, but I'm nevertheless happy to pass on betting this one.
Projection: Salkilld (89.4%)
Sean's Picks:
- Pass
