Roman Kopylov vs. Gregory Rodrigues
| Kopylov Odds | +150 |
| Rodrigues Odds | -180 |
| Over/Under | 1.5 (-166/+130) |
| Location | Madison Square Garden, New York City, NY |
| Bout Time | 9:15 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ |
| UFC 322 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 322 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Check out the Roman Kopylov vs. Gregory Rodrigues prediction for UFC 322on Saturday, November 15, along with my betting preview and breakdown.
Here's my Kopylov vs. Rodrigues pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Kopylov | Rodrigues | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 14-4-0 | 17-6-0 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 11:43 | 8:29 |
| Height | 6'0" | 6'3" |
| Weight (pounds) | 185 lbs. | 185 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 75" | 75" |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 5/4/1992 | 2/17/1992 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 4.74 | 5.54 |
| SS Accuracy | 50% | 51% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 5.08 | 5.04 |
| SS Defense | 53% | 50% |
| Take Down Avg | 1.02 | 2.21 |
| TD Acc | 42% | 38% |
| TD Def | 87% | 90% |
| Submission Avg | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Kopylov vs. Rodrigues Pick, Prediction
Gregory "Robocop" Rodrigues is the taller man and the far superior grappler (77% vs. 44% control rate) to Roman Kopylov; still, both Rodrigues and Kopylov tend to fade by the third round when they either proactively or defensively grapple in their respective bouts.
Rodrigues carries more power and has the better strike differential (+0.5 to -0.1 per minute) than Kopylov at distance. Still, he attempts fewer than three takedowns per five minutes, and if he is unable to consolidate a back take, he often lets his opponents scramble back to their feet far too effortlessly.
Kopylov is the superior technician – with sharp boxing and a more refined kicking game, and he tends to work the body, which could prove crucial against such a muscled-up opponent. Still, I don't love his own stamina when he is pressured backwards. Unless he's able to take advantage and wobble or knock down a potentially chinny Rodrigues, he could be in a defensive posture from the opening bell.
If Kopylov can deny the takedowns (88% career) and match Robocop's gas tank, however, his technique will eventually take over the minute-winning of the fight.
Projection: Gregory Rodrigues (54.8%)
Sean's Pick:
- Roman Kopylov (+165, 0.35u) at Caesars; bet to +130
