Sean O'Malley vs Aiemann Zahabi Odds
| O'Malley Odds | -440 |
| Zahabi Odds | +340 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (-195/+150) |
| Location | White House Lawn, Washington DC |
| Bout Time | 10:15 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | Paramount+ |
| UFC Freedom 250 odds as of Friday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC Freedom 250 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Check out the Sean O'Malley vs Aiemann Zahabi prediction for UFC Freedom 250 on Sunday, June 14 along with my betting preview and breakdown.
Tale of the Tape
| O'Malley | Zahabi | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 19-3 (1 NC) | 14-2 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 11:32 | 12:07 |
| Height | 5'11" | 5'8" |
| Weight (pounds) | 135 lbs. | 135 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 72" | 68" |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 10/24/1994 | 11/19/1987 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 6.05 | 4.54 |
| SS Accuracy | 60% | 47% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 3.40 | 4.08 |
| SS Defense | 60% | 69% |
| Take Down Avg | 0.24 | 0.12 |
| TD Acc | 42% | 14% |
| TD Def | 60% | 83% |
| Submission Avg | 0.2 | 0.0 |
On the Action Network Podcast, I asked my co-host, Billy Ward, who he thought was the UFC's first choice to be Sean O'Malley's opponent on the White House card, and he suggested Bryce Mitchell, who fought and defeated Santiago Luna last week at the Apex.
Aiemann Zahabi is a fighter with minimal fanfare, and there is limited upside for an unheralded Canadian defeating one of the USA's biggest stars in the most public event in the promotion's history. Zhahabi is a well-rounded martial artist and trains under the tutelage of his brother, Fares Zahabi, at Tristar Gym in Montreal, the training camp of my all-time favorite fighter, UFC Hall of Famer Georges St-Pierre.
Still, O'Malley is the bigger man (3" taller, 4" reach advantage), seven years younger, and both the more efficient and voluminous striker (+3.8 to +0.2 differential per minute at distance. The only way to cleanly win minutes against O'Malley is to outgrapple him — and Zahabi has landed just one takedown in ten career UFC bouts.
O'Malley vs. Zahabi Pick, Prediction
Zahabi will be competitive in this fight, and I have largely bet against O'Malley since he entered the top 15, but I show value on the favorite here; you can use Suga Sean as a parlay piece to -650.
I also show value on his decision prop (projected +101, listed +110), but I'll save that bet for round-robin tickets.
Zerillo's Picks: Parlay (-204, 0.5u), Kalshi; parlay to -650 and -1000 respectively: Sean O'Malley & Ilia Topuria
