Terrance McKinney vs. Vlacheslav Borshchev Prediction, Pick, Odds for UFC 317

Check out my McKinney vs. Borschev prediction for UFC 317 on Saturday, June 28.

McKinney has won three of his last four fights, all of which have ended in the first round. Borschev has only won one of his last four fights.

Here's my McKinney vs. Borschev pick for tonight.

Terrance McKinney vs. Vlacheslav Borshchev Odds

McKinney vs. Borschev Pick

Terrance McKinney is a significant danger to any opponent in Round 1, with 15 of his 16 career wins inside of five minutes.

And he seemingly has the skill set to finish Viachelav "Slava Claus" Borshchev, who has shown poor takedown defense (43%) and declining durability on his UFC run.

Slava is a master of sport in boxing and a far superior technical striker (+2.6 differential per minute), but he has been forced to spend 41% of his cage time grappling with opponents, while getting outgrappled in 87% of those positions.

McKinney has big-time power, but he's had a smoother time outwrestling opponents (57% of his cage time grappling, 84% control rate), and McKinney could potentially take Slava's back and choke him out, like he did to Fares Ziam.

Still, McKinney has never been able to sustain his style-whether striking or grappling-for more than five minutes against high-level competition, and the numbers on Slava to win in Round 2 (+750) or Round 3 (+1500) are particularly appealing.

I show pre-fight value on Borshchev's moneyline (projected +113, listed +150) and his KO/TKO prop (projected +196, listed +210), but would prefer to take his late props and wait for a live moneyline after five minutes.

McKinney vs. Borschev Predictions

• Viacheslav Borshchev wins in Round 2 (+750, 0.15u) at FanDuel (bet to +500)
• Viacheslav Borshchev wins in Round 3 (+1500, 0.1u) at Caesars (bet to +1000)
• Viacheslav Borshchev Live after Round 1