Nov 15, 2025; New York, NY, UNITED STATES; Tracy Cortez (blue gloves) looks on before her womens flyweight bout against Erin Blanchfield (not pictured during UFC 322 at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Ed Mulholland-Imagn Images
Check out the Tracy Cortez vs Wang Cong prediction for UFC 329 on Saturday, July 11, along with my betting preview and breakdown.
Here's my Cortez vs. Wang pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
Cortez
Wang
Record
12-3
9-1
Avg. Fight Time
15:32
9:39
Height
5'5"
5'6"
Weight (pounds)
125 lbs.
125 lbs.
Reach (inches)
65"
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Southpaw
Date of birth
12/10/1993
5/12/1992
Sig Strikes Per Min
3.86
6.22
SS Accuracy
48%
56%
SS Absorbed Per Min
3.01
2.19
SS Defense
57%
63%
Take Down Avg
2.15
0.78
TD Acc
46%
75%
TD Def
59%
84%
Submission Avg
0.3
0.8
Cortez vs. Wang Pick, Prediction
The line on this fight has flipped several times after Cortez opened as a near -170 favorite. You can now get her at plus-money, and I would take her moneyline to -105.
This is a relatively binary fight between the powerful kickboxer, Wang Cong, and the wrestler, Cortez, and I favor Tracy to land takedowns – and either maintain position or find a submission – against a fighter who has shown a concerning skill set when put on the mat.
Cortez has taken down all but one of her UFC opponents (Jasmine Jasudavicius, who she outstruck for a decision win), and landed multiple takedowns in seven of her nine fights, and Cong – who only transitioned to MMA in 2022 – ranks among the least experienced defensive grapplers relative to her past opponents.
In addition to her moneyline, I like Cortez Over 1.5 takedowns (-150) and would also sprinkle her submission prop (projected +843, listed +1300) down to +900; she has shown excellent durability and improved striking and should be far more competitive on the feet than Cong is on the ground.
Zerillo's Picks: Tracy Cortez (+108, 0.35u), Polymarket; bet to -105, Tracy Cortez wins by Submission (+1300, 0.05u), FanDuel; bet to +1000, Tracy Cortez Over 1.5 Takedowns (-150, 0.1u), DraftKings; bet to -185)
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About the Author
Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.
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