Check out the Veronica Hardy vs. Brogan Walker prediction for UFC 320 on Saturday, October 4, with my betting preview and breakdown.
Veronica Hardy vs. Brogan Walker Odds
| Hardy Odds | -700 |
| Walker Odds | +500 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (-400 / +280) |
| Location | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas |
| Bout Time | 6:00 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ |
| UFC 320 odds as of Saturday and via bet365. Bet on UFC 320 with our bet365 promo code. | |
Here's my Hardy vs. Walker pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Hardy | Walker | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-5-1 | 8-4-0 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 12:29 | 14:29 |
| Height | 5'4" | 5'4" |
| Weight (pounds) | 125 lbs. | 125 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 64" | 67" |
| Stance | Southpaw | Switch |
| Date of birth | 10/30/1995 | 8/2/1988 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 3.12 | 2.04 |
| SS Accuracy | 45% | 30% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 3.48 | 3.70 |
| SS Defense | 49% | 47% |
| Take Down Avg | 0.93 | 0.00 |
| TD Acc | 41% | 0% |
| TD Def | 55% | 11% |
| Submission Avg | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Hardy vs. Walker Pick, Prediction
Aside from the short-notice fight between Ateba Gautier and Tre'ston Vines, Veronica Hardy is the heaviest moneyline favorite on Saturday's card, lined at -650 (88.7% implied) or higher as of writing, compared to my projected line of -624.
As a result, I don't project value on either side of the moneyline; however, I do expect this fight to go to a decision more frequently than the odds suggest.
I projected the distance or goes to decision prop at -431 (81.2% implied) compared to listed odds of -340 (77.3% implied) and set Hardy as a -240 favorite to win by decision, compared to listed odds of -195. I would consider betting her decision line to -220, or utilizing that prop as a parlay piece.
Walker is the bigger athlete (3" reach advantage). Still, Hardy is seven years her junior, has the speed advantage, and is the more technical kickboxer (+0.7 to -1.6 strike differential per minute at distance).
Projection: Hardy (86.2%)
Sean's Pick: Parlay (+133, 0.25u) at FanDuel: Veronica Hardy wins by Decision (-220) & Farid Basharat wins by Decision (-165); parlay to -240 and -205
