Rockets vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - October 21, 2025

Rockets at Thunder

11:30 pm • NBC/Peacock

Houston Rockets

0-2

124

124 - 125

Oklahoma City Thunder

3-0

125

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockets 0-2	+7.5	+6.5-110	o225.5-112	+205
Thunder 3-0	u225.5	-6.5-110	u225.5-111	-255

Tuesday 11:30 p.m.

October 21, 2025

Paycom CenterOklahoma City

OKC +113 (Live)

1.13u

A.Sengun o31.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-113

*Can use DK Combo Boost on this to get it to about +123

R.Sheppard u5.5 Rebs+Ast-125

0.63u

RotoGrinders projections have Sheppard’s u5.5 RA popping assuming the Rockets play more of a big lineup. He’ll lineup run the second unit but I agree there’s a wide range of outcomes here so let’s embrace the uncertainty on opening night.

C.Holmgren u16.5 Pts-120

0.5u

HOU +6.5-110

HOU +6.5-105

1.9u

A.Mitchell o1.5 Ast-125

0.8u

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R.Sheppard u5.5 Rebs+Ast-125

1.25u

Over 227.5-110

0.1u

A.Sengun o13.5 Rebs+Ast-118

Over 227.5-110

0.91u

K.Durant o23.5 Pts-120

0.3u

HOU +7-110

0.91u

X: PicksOffice

Under 228.5-110

X: PicksOffice

Under 227.5-110

I.Hartenstein u9.5 Rebs-135

Houston already led the league in rebounding rate by a decent margin last season. They finished at 53.5% in the regular season, and no other team was above 52%. Now, they're trotting out the double-big lineup. Steven Adams will draw the start tonight. With Adams on the floor last season (796 minutes), Houston had a 59.2% (!!) rebounding rate. Hartenstein averaged 10.7 rebounds per game last season, but that number was inflated by Chet Holmgren's injury absence. He averaged 9 rebounds in 20 games with Holmgren available.

A.Sengun Double-Double Yes+135

1.01u

OKC -3.5 (1H)-110

1.1u

HOU +6.5-110

0.91u

C.Wallace o2.5 Rebs-115

0.65u

HOU +6.5+100

OKC -6.5-115

0.35u

HOU +3.5 (1H)-105

0.48u

@bryanfonseca ⭐️ https://myaction.app/MOO5skxeEXb

A.Wiggins o1.5 3pt M-114

0.88u

@bryanfonseca ⭐️⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/MOO5skxeEXb

A.Thompson o2.5 Stl+Blk+100

0.75u

@bryanfonseca ⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/MOO5skxeEXb

Over 226.5-115

0.65u

@FiddlesPicks ⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/MOO5skxeEXb

OKC -7-105

@BKPicks ⭐️⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/MOO5skxeEXb

A.Sengun o33.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-116

0.52u

⭐️ ⭐️ ⭐️: My DraftKings #KingOfTheCourt best bet for opening night. OKC had rebounding issues even with bigs available. Sengun’s rebounds and assists went up without Jalen last year per possession. I think this is a breakout season and it starts tonight, even if I like OKC to cover.

OKC -7-105

0.55u

⭐️ ⭐️ ⭐️: Buckets podcast three-star bet for opening night. Western Conference home opener favorites of more than a possession (<-4 spread) are 11-6 in the last five seasons. Rockets’ biggest weakness right now is ball handling. Not great going up against the velociraptors on OKC’s wings. More for Houston to figure out.

S.Gilgeous-Alexander u32.5 Pts-120

1.2u

S.Gilgeous-Alexander u32.5 Pts-120

1.2u

S.Gilgeous-Alexander u31.5 Pts+103

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o1.5 3pt M-135

HOU +7.5-110

Buyback on the 7.5 on OKC. ***OKC -7 official play.

OKC -7-110

1.1u

Found a 7. Bought out of 7.5.

HOU +8-114

0.88u

K.Durant u5.5 Rebs-140

0.7u

Tailing @TurveyBets. Like this even more now that Rockets confirmed they will be starting Adams with a double big lineup.

K.Durant o25.5 Pts-108

0.54u

#Tailing @JoeDellera

K.Durant o25.5 Pts+100

KD makes his Rockets debut in a tough matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday night. Durant will provide championship pedigree and a clear go to scoring threat that they did not have prior to his acquisition. Durant is a lethal scorer, and without Fred VanVleet, he will be leaned on more than originally anticipated for finishing off possessions and spacing the floor. KD averaged 26.6 ppg last season and scored 28, 20, and 26 against the Thunder. Here, I think there is an even greater need for his scoring ability than with the Suns and Devin Booker and Bradley Beal. His Usage should be sky high when he is on the floor and I expect him to make a splash in his debut.

K.Durant o25.5 Pts-117

@JoeDellera ⭐️⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/Pc2FW65ECXb

OKC -7.5-110

@HPBasketball ⭐️⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/Pc2FW65ECXb

K.Durant u5.5 Rebs-140

0.75u

@TurveyBets ⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/Pc2FW65ECXb

A.Sengun o33.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-123

0.61u

@HPBasketball ⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/Pc2FW65ECXb

K.Durant u5.5 Rebs-140

0.5u

BUCKETS IS BACK

OKC -7.5-110

1.1u

R.Sheppard o7.5 Pts+102

1.02u

R.Sheppard To Score 15+ Points Yes+800

0.25u

A.Thompson To Score 15+ Points Yes-130

0.77u

Rockets vs Thunder: Best Bet & +214 SGP for Tonight
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Oct 21, 2025 UTC
Thunder -7 is the SMART play for Rockets vs. Thunder!
•
Oct 21, 2025 UTC
Great VALUE in this Aaron Wiggins prop for Rockets vs.Thunder Opening Night matchup!
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NBA Public Betting

Thunder are 3-0 in their last 5 games.
Thunder are 1-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Thunder are 1-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Thunder' last 3 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Thunder' 1 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	1-2	0-1	1-1	1-2	N/A
Rockets	1-1	0-1	1-0	0-1	1-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Thunder	2-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	N/A
Rockets	1-1	0-1	1-0	0-1	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	3-0	N/A	N/A	3-0	N/A
Rockets	0-2	N/A	N/A	0-1	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 18th	DEN	W 94-91	-9.5 L	U 229.5	OKC -400
Oct 15th	@MIL	W 116-112	-6 L	U 233.5	OKC -220
Oct 11th	@IND	L 101-116	-	U 235.5	IND -105
Oct 10th	CHA	W 122-116	-10 L	O 232	OKC -470
Oct 7th	@DAL	L 89-106	+5.5 L	U 225	DAL +180