Pacers vs. Knicks Odds & Betting Predictions - May 24, 2025

This obviously isn’t for the faint of heart — we all know Haliburton is one of the top assist guys in the league, which is why his line is so high. He had 11 assists on 20 potential in Game 1, but only 9 of those came in regulation, with two more in OT. Game 1 he got to play 5 extra minutes (thanks to his foot being on the line on the best shot of his career) and the Pacers put up 138 points. Tonight, the team total is about 30 points lower, which naturally brings his assist ceiling down. His pass rate was down a bit in Game 1, with a noticeable increase in passes to Nembhard (those passes have the lowest odds to result in assists for TH because they are usually meant for AN to take the ball up/set up a play most of the time). I’m projecting him at 8.9 assists, with fair value on the under closer to -145.

This is juicy but Nesmith plays extremely physical defense and the Pacers need him out there for his defense on Brunson and his ability to stretch the floor on offense. Nesmith has averaged 4.1 personal fouls per game during the Playoffs and has at least 3 in every game with 4+ in 8/11 games. He had 5 in Game 1 and now over the last two postseasons he’s recorded 4+ in 6/8 against the Knicks. In 13 games including the regular season he has 3.9 per game and clears this line in 9/13. The physicality is necessary for his success, but it also goes hand in hand with picking up fouls. Over 3.5 fouls is not even a fade of Nesmith, rather it’s a bet that he is entrusted with this role.

I make this around +450 so just taking a shot. Assists toughest but led NYK in potentials and Brunson has only 6. He’s gonna have one this series, why not now?

Faded him in G1 but this price is too much of an overreaction

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Fade over performing dogs Overall: 96-39-2,71% (ROI:37%) Season:9-7-0,56% (ROI:7%)

Bridge troll

#dq

Misclick on the other slip, disregard it. Can’t edit/delete it. Betting -5.5.