The Boston Celtics head into Thursday night's matchup against the Golden State Warriors as four-point road favorites, with the market giving the road side a roughly 60% chance of victory.
Kalshi traders have generated significant interest in this East-West showdown, with over 21,500 contracts in volume.
The Celtics (35-19) have covered the spread 69% of the time when they've been favored this season. Additionally, Boston has been particularly dominant as a heavy favorite, going 23-8 when listed at -166 or shorter on the moneyline.
Meanwhile, the Warriors (29-26) are just 4-6 over their past 10 and are looking to heat up as they battle for playoff positioning in the competitive Western Conference.
If you're curious about prediction markets and want to make your Celtics vs Warriors prediction known, check out Kalshi — which is legal in most states and offers markets on a variety of topics, including sports, politics, and even the weather. Also, be sure to use our Kalshi promo code to get started.
Celtics vs Warriors Odds, Predictions
The 10 p.m. ET tipoff will be broadcast on Amazon Prime Video. The prediction market's pricing suggests a closer game than the betting spread might indicate, with the bid-ask spreads tight at 40%-41% and 60%-62%, respectively.
With both teams fighting for playoff seeding in their respective conferences, this nationally televised showdown could provide significant value for bettors who see an opportunity in the market's assessment versus traditional sportsbook offerings.
What is Kalshi?
Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in most states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections, and even weather.
Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment, and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).
