Grizzlies vs. 76ers Odds, Preview, Prediction: Bet Memphis to Keep Rolling on the Road (January 31)

Grizzlies vs. 76ers Odds, Preview, Prediction: Bet Memphis to Keep Rolling on the Road (January 31) article feature image

Justin Ford/Getty Images. Pictured: Ja Morant #12 of the Memphis Grizzlies.

  • The Grizzlies-76ers line has swung in a huge way after Philadelphia announced Joel Embiid would sit due to rest on Monday night.
  • That moved the spread from Grizzlies +2.5 to -4, showing how much the market thinks Embiid is worth.

Editor's Note:The Philadelphia 76ers have ruled out Joel Embiid for Monday's game due to rest. For real-time injury updates, check out our FantasyLabs NBA news page.

Grizzlies vs. 76ers Odds

Grizzlies Odds+2.5
76ers Odds-2.5
Time7 p.m. ET
TVNBA League Pass
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here.

We have a potentially great battle in the works in the city of brotherly love on Monday night. Since the start of 2022, the Memphis Grizzlies and Philadelphia 76ers are No. 2 and No. 3 in win percentage in the NBA, which sets the stage for an awesome game.

The Grizzlies are 12-3 against the spread this month, including 6-2 ATS on the road, while the Sixers are 9-5 ATS in January and 8-5 as favorites. Which of the two trends will hold true tonight? Let's take a deeper look at the recent play of both teams.

Memphis Grizzlies Continue to Surge

The Grizzlies continue to be a bettor's dream, covering the spread in 13 of their past 16 games and leading the NBA with a 34-18 ATS record. That means Memphis has covered in a whopping 65.4% of games, and it has beaten the spread by 2.9 points on average.

Nothing has really changed lately. The Grizzlies have dealt with some injuries here and there, losing Dillon Brooks and Tyus Jones (who may actually return from the league's health and safety protocols for this game) yet continue to win. This will also be the start of a massive stretch away from home with Memphis playing just two home games in the next eight.

I emphasize that because the Grizzlies are a scorching 17-7 ATS on the road this season, as if they didn't need any other advantages coming into this one. Predictably, that's the best road ATS mark in the league.

These two teams did meet once before, but it's hard to really read into the Grizzlies' mammoth 126-91 victory. Philly was without Joel Embiid and Seth Curry, though it's worth noting Memphis was able to limit starting wings Tobias Harris, Matisse Thybulle and Furkan Korkmaz to just 26 combined points. It took a herculean effort from Tyrese Maxey to even have a remote shot. The Grizzlies were also playing without Ja Morant, which says a lot.

Are the 76ers Slightly Overvalued?

Speaking of that first meeting between the two teams, it came at a time where the Sixers were struggling mightily on the defensive end. On top of that, Philly had to deal with Dillon Brooks matching a game high with 23 points and Tyus Jones shooting an efficient 6-for-7 from the field. As I noted above, Memphis most likely won't have those two guys (it definitely won't have Brooks), which should give Philly a better shot here.

The Sixers, on the whole, have had a good stretch. They rank eighth in defense over the past two weeks, allowing just 109.2 points per 100 possessions. They've won seven of their last nine games, covering the spread in five of those. While this is objectively good, it's hard to find many quality wins in here.

The Sixers did beat the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat, and the latter currently holds the pole position in the Eastern Conference. With that said, their last four wins came over the San Antonio Spurs, New Orleans Pelicans, Los Angeles Lakers and Kings. That's not exactly a murderer's row.

Philadelphia was also unable to cover a large spread against the Kings last time out, trailing for most of the game before establishing enough of a lead late to survive some clutch 3s in crunch time from Tyrese Haliburton, who cut up this defense for 38 points. That type of game does not leave you with a good taste in your mouth, particularly with the Sixers shooting 40% from behind the arc.

Grizzlies-76ers Pick

The Sixers and Grizzlies are seventh and eighth, respectively, over the past two weeks in Net Rating. While the Sixers have put together a run, we've talked about the fact that it may just be fool's gold with their toughest test in quite some time on the table Monday.

Memphis has been outstanding on the road this season, and Philly is 9-14 ATS at home. With that, I'm just not seeing how the Grizzlies should be getting points. If this game were at a neutral location, it'd be a pick 'em at best, so I think you ride the trends here and take the Grizzlies.

Pick: Grizzlies +2.5 (-110)

Editor's Note:This story was published before the Philadelphia 76ers ruled out Joel Embiid for Monday's game due to rest. For real-time injury updates, check out our FantasyLabs NBA news page.

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Nick Sterling
Jul 21, 2024 UTC