The NBA regular season is back in action with a total of three matchups on the slate for this Monday. So, our staff of basketball betting experts dug into the latest odds and identified NBA picks for all three of today's contests.
Continue below for our NBA best bets and predictions for Monday, February 23.
Monday's NBA Best Bets, Picks
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7 p.m. | |
  | 8 p.m. | |
  | 9:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Spurs vs. Pistons Player Prop Pick
By Joe Dellera
The Spurs face off against the Pistons in a showdown between two of the league’s top teams tonight.
While everyone is always looking to Victor Wembanyama to step up in these spots, De’Aaron Fox is another prime target tonight.
Fox is averaging 16.6 points per game this season, and even though this is a tougher matchup due to Detroit’s stout defense, we have seen other lead ball handlers find success against them.
Jalen Brunson put up 33, and Josh Giddey put up 27 just in the last week.
One of the keys is that the Pistons are about average at defending pick-and-roll ball handlers, and they foul at a high rate.
What’s been interesting is that Fox steps up against top defenses.
Against top-10 defenses, Fox is averaging 19.1 points per game this season.
Fox elevates his game and is naturally able to take on a greater offensive load when his teammates may struggle to get their own shots.
I expect this to be a tough and competitive game with Fox as a primary scoring option alongside of Wemby for the Spurs tonight.
Pick: De'Aaron Fox Over 16.5 Points (-115)
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Kings vs. Grizzlies Spread Prediction
By Bet Labs
This NBA spread betting system identifies value in conference games where favorites are struggling but still favored by the market, which is the case for the Grizzlies in this spot.
When a team has recently underperformed yet remains favored, it suggests the betting line reflects long-term strength rather than short-term results.
These situations often create buying opportunities on teams that are due for positive regression after a rough stretch.
Facing familiar conference opponents adds familiarity and stability to performance expectations, while moderate spreads and balanced totals keep volatility in check.
This approach capitalizes on the overreaction to recent form, betting on strong teams to rebound once market sentiment has dipped too far against them.
Pick: Grizzlies -4.5 (-110)
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Jazz vs. Rockets Prop Bet
Action PRO is projecting 5.6 rebounds for Ace Bailey in the Jazz's matchup against the Rockets tonight, presenting a huge 24.4% edge against his current rebounds prop line of over/under 3.5, which is good enough to give the Over an A+ grade in our database.
Utah's injury report is a bit of a moving target due to the Jazz seemingly trying to lose games on purpose.
However, one thing we should be able to count on is their commitment to developing their young players such as Bailey.
Bailey is averaging 26.5 minutes per game on the season. However, he enters tonight's matchup having seen 31+ minutes of playing time in seven straight games, while getting up over 35+ minutes of action in four of those contests.
Due to his recent increase in playing time, his rebounding stats have naturally seen an uptick as well.
Bailey has recorded 4+ rebounds in seven of his last eight games, while managing to secure 6+ rebounds in five of those contests; and 8+ rebounds in three of them.
You could also consider betting on Bailey to record 6+ rebounds (+260) or 8+ rebounds (+800) at DraftKings — but we'll go ahead and lock in over 3.5 rebounds as our best bet for this game.
Pick: Ace Bailey Over 3.5 Rebounds (-130)
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